Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% and 36% for exactly 3.3%, reflecting a sharp repricing higher from February's steady 2.4% reading amid elevated Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.84% month-over-month headline inflation for March—well above typical levels—and economist forecasts clustering around 3.4%. Recent FOMC March projections modestly raised 2026 inflation expectations, while geopolitical tensions including the emerging war with Iran have spurred energy price volatility, stalling disinflation and boosting risk of base effects. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release set for April 10, traders eye potential upside surprises in food and shelter components as key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено≥3,4% 47.0%
3,3% 36.4%
3,2% 14%
3,1% 2.8%
$932,934 Объем
$932,934 Объем
10 апр. 2026 г.
≤2,6%
1%
2,7%
<1%
2,8%
<1%
2,9%
1%
3,0%
<1%
3,1%
3%
3,2%
14%
3,3%
36%
≥3,4%
47%
≥3,4% 47.0%
3,3% 36.4%
3,2% 14%
3,1% 2.8%
$932,934 Объем
$932,934 Объем
10 апр. 2026 г.
≤2,6%
$113,008 Объем
1%
2,7%
$108,342 Объем
<1%
2,8%
$53,304 Объем
<1%
2,9%
$51,323 Объем
1%
3,0%
$54,350 Объем
<1%
3,1%
$81,852 Объем
3%
3,2%
$50,654 Объем
14%
3,3%
$177,274 Объем
36%
≥3,4%
$242,826 Объем
47%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% and 36% for exactly 3.3%, reflecting a sharp repricing higher from February's steady 2.4% reading amid elevated Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.84% month-over-month headline inflation for March—well above typical levels—and economist forecasts clustering around 3.4%. Recent FOMC March projections modestly raised 2026 inflation expectations, while geopolitical tensions including the emerging war with Iran have spurred energy price volatility, stalling disinflation and boosting risk of base effects. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release set for April 10, traders eye potential upside surprises in food and shelter components as key swing factors.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Объем
$932,934Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% and 36% for exactly 3.3%, reflecting a sharp repricing higher from February's steady 2.4% reading amid elevated Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.84% month-over-month headline inflation for March—well above typical levels—and economist forecasts clustering around 3.4%. Recent FOMC March projections modestly raised 2026 inflation expectations, while geopolitical tensions including the emerging war with Iran have spurred energy price volatility, stalling disinflation and boosting risk of base effects. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release set for April 10, traders eye potential upside surprises in food and shelter components as key swing factors.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$932,934Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% and 36% for exactly 3.3%, reflecting a sharp repricing higher from February's steady 2.4% reading amid elevated Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.84% month-over-month headline inflation for March—well above typical levels—and economist forecasts clustering around 3.4%. Recent FOMC March projections modestly raised 2026 inflation expectations, while geopolitical tensions including the emerging war with Iran have spurred energy price volatility, stalling disinflation and boosting risk of base effects. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release set for April 10, traders eye potential upside surprises in food and shelter components as key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы