INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3.4–3.6% 100.0%
≤2.1% <1%
2.2–2.4% <1%
2.5–2.7% <1%
$89,363 Объем
$89,363 Объем
14 апр. 2026 г.
≤2.1%
No
2.2–2.4%
No
2.5–2.7%
No
2.8–3.0%
No
3.1–3.3%
No
3.4–3.6%
Yes
3.7%+
No
3.4–3.6% 100.0%
≤2.1% <1%
2.2–2.4% <1%
2.5–2.7% <1%
$89,363 Объем
$89,363 Объем
14 апр. 2026 г.
≤2.1%
$4,027 Объем
No
2.2–2.4%
$3,022 Объем
No
2.5–2.7%
$4,056 Объем
No
2.8–3.0%
$8,843 Объем
No
3.1–3.3%
$38,156 Объем
No
3.4–3.6%
$20,496 Объем
Yes
3.7%+
$10,763 Объем
No
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Объем
$89,363Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$89,363Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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