Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's March monthly inflation in a tight race among 2.5–3.3% bins, aggregating over 90% probability and reflecting Milei's aggressive disinflation campaign via fiscal austerity and zero money printing. February's 4.2% print marked further slowdown from April's 8.8%, bolstering optimism, though economists' median forecast hovers at 3.1% per central bank surveys. Upside risks in the 3.1–3.3% bin stem from persistent food pressures and wage indexation, differentiating it from sub-3% outcomes hinging on favorable weather and subdued core CPI; INDEC's mid-April release will resolve, with traders wagering real capital on this narrowing trajectory amid sustained peso stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 32%
2.5–2.7% 29%
2.8–3.0% 29%
3.4–3.6% 7%
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.7%
29%
2.8–3.0%
29%
3.1–3.3%
32%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7%+
3%
3.1–3.3% 32%
2.5–2.7% 29%
2.8–3.0% 29%
3.4–3.6% 7%
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.7%
29%
2.8–3.0%
29%
3.1–3.3%
32%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's March monthly inflation in a tight race among 2.5–3.3% bins, aggregating over 90% probability and reflecting Milei's aggressive disinflation campaign via fiscal austerity and zero money printing. February's 4.2% print marked further slowdown from April's 8.8%, bolstering optimism, though economists' median forecast hovers at 3.1% per central bank surveys. Upside risks in the 3.1–3.3% bin stem from persistent food pressures and wage indexation, differentiating it from sub-3% outcomes hinging on favorable weather and subdued core CPI; INDEC's mid-April release will resolve, with traders wagering real capital on this narrowing trajectory amid sustained peso stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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