US commercial crude oil inventories stood near 407 million barrels as of the July 31 EIA report, reflecting a surprise 2.5 million-barrel build amid softer refinery runs and higher imports, after earlier 2026 draws tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Trader focus centers on weekly EIA releases, refinery utilization rates near 95-97%, seasonal summer demand patterns, and net crude import flows, which have recently offset potential draws. Global inventory forecasts point to a moderated 3Q26 draw of roughly 2.2 million barrels per day, while any shifts in OPEC+ output, US production trends, or resolution of geopolitical tensions could influence near-term stock changes ahead of the August 28 threshold. The next EIA data release on August 12 will provide key signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$39,453 Объем
300 млн
98%
285 млн
14%
270 млн
1%
255 млн
1%
240 млн
1%
225 млн
1%
$39,453 Объем
300 млн
98%
285 млн
14%
270 млн
1%
255 млн
1%
240 млн
1%
225 млн
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US commercial crude oil inventories stood near 407 million barrels as of the July 31 EIA report, reflecting a surprise 2.5 million-barrel build amid softer refinery runs and higher imports, after earlier 2026 draws tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Trader focus centers on weekly EIA releases, refinery utilization rates near 95-97%, seasonal summer demand patterns, and net crude import flows, which have recently offset potential draws. Global inventory forecasts point to a moderated 3Q26 draw of roughly 2.2 million barrels per day, while any shifts in OPEC+ output, US production trends, or resolution of geopolitical tensions could influence near-term stock changes ahead of the August 28 threshold. The next EIA data release on August 12 will provide key signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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