Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation averaging above the Bank of Canada's 2% target, with 3.5-3.9% leading at 30.3% implied probability amid closely contested odds against 3.0-3.4% at 21.1%. February's year-over-year CPI cooled to 1.8%—down from 2.3% in January—due to fading base effects from prior GST/HST relief, but core gauges like CPI-trim eased only to 2.3%, signaling persistence. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, projecting inflation near target while flagging supply shocks and energy risks that could reverse the trend. Key differentiators include the scale of base-effect rebounds and commodity pressures versus restrictive monetary dynamics, with March CPI data due April 20 as the next catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
3,5-3,9% 24.1%
3,0–3,4% 22.2%
2,5–2,9% 13.0%
4,0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Объем
$15,800 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
7%
1,0–1,4%
<1%
1,5–1,9%
5%
2,0–2,4%
5%
2,5–2,9%
16%
3,0–3,4%
22%
3,5-3,9%
30%
4,0%+
12%
3,5-3,9% 24.1%
3,0–3,4% 22.2%
2,5–2,9% 13.0%
4,0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Объем
$15,800 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$282 Объем
7%
1,0–1,4%
$303 Объем
<1%
1,5–1,9%
$568 Объем
5%
2,0–2,4%
$350 Объем
5%
2,5–2,9%
$464 Объем
16%
3,0–3,4%
$13,245 Объем
22%
3,5-3,9%
$263 Объем
30%
4,0%+
$325 Объем
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation averaging above the Bank of Canada's 2% target, with 3.5-3.9% leading at 30.3% implied probability amid closely contested odds against 3.0-3.4% at 21.1%. February's year-over-year CPI cooled to 1.8%—down from 2.3% in January—due to fading base effects from prior GST/HST relief, but core gauges like CPI-trim eased only to 2.3%, signaling persistence. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, projecting inflation near target while flagging supply shocks and energy risks that could reverse the trend. Key differentiators include the scale of base-effect rebounds and commodity pressures versus restrictive monetary dynamics, with March CPI data due April 20 as the next catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Объем
$15,800Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation averaging above the Bank of Canada's 2% target, with 3.5-3.9% leading at 30.3% implied probability amid closely contested odds against 3.0-3.4% at 21.1%. February's year-over-year CPI cooled to 1.8%—down from 2.3% in January—due to fading base effects from prior GST/HST relief, but core gauges like CPI-trim eased only to 2.3%, signaling persistence. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, projecting inflation near target while flagging supply shocks and energy risks that could reverse the trend. Key differentiators include the scale of base-effect rebounds and commodity pressures versus restrictive monetary dynamics, with March CPI data due April 20 as the next catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Объем
$15,800Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation averaging above the Bank of Canada's 2% target, with 3.5-3.9% leading at 30.3% implied probability amid closely contested odds against 3.0-3.4% at 21.1%. February's year-over-year CPI cooled to 1.8%—down from 2.3% in January—due to fading base effects from prior GST/HST relief, but core gauges like CPI-trim eased only to 2.3%, signaling persistence. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18, projecting inflation near target while flagging supply shocks and energy risks that could reverse the trend. Key differentiators include the scale of base-effect rebounds and commodity pressures versus restrictive monetary dynamics, with March CPI data due April 20 as the next catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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