Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations center on consensus forecasts projecting quarterly expansion around 0.3-0.4%, consistent with ECB staff projections of 1.6% annual growth for 2026 amid ongoing monetary easing. Recent Q3 2024 flash GDP rose 0.2% quarter-over-quarter, matching estimates but underscoring sluggish recovery from manufacturing weakness in Germany and fiscal drag, offset by resilient services and labor market strength with unemployment steady at 6.4%. Cooling inflation at 1.8% headline in September supports further ECB rate cuts, with markets pricing a 25 basis point reduction at the October 17 meeting. Traders monitor Q4 GDP flash on November 15 and December CPI for leading indicators that could shift growth trajectory amid geopolitical risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРост ВВП еврозоны в 1 квартале 2026 года
Рост ВВП еврозоны в 1 квартале 2026 года
<0,5%
20%
0,5-0,8%
37%
0,9–1,2%
47%
1,3-1,6%
39%
1,7–2,0%
32%
2,1–2,4%
35%
2,5%+
29%
$0.00 Объем
<0,5%
20%
0,5-0,8%
37%
0,9–1,2%
47%
1,3-1,6%
39%
1,7–2,0%
32%
2,1–2,4%
35%
2,5%+
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations center on consensus forecasts projecting quarterly expansion around 0.3-0.4%, consistent with ECB staff projections of 1.6% annual growth for 2026 amid ongoing monetary easing. Recent Q3 2024 flash GDP rose 0.2% quarter-over-quarter, matching estimates but underscoring sluggish recovery from manufacturing weakness in Germany and fiscal drag, offset by resilient services and labor market strength with unemployment steady at 6.4%. Cooling inflation at 1.8% headline in September supports further ECB rate cuts, with markets pricing a 25 basis point reduction at the October 17 meeting. Traders monitor Q4 GDP flash on November 15 and December CPI for leading indicators that could shift growth trajectory amid geopolitical risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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