Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a robust 90.5% implied probability for "No" on Costco raising its iconic $1.50 hot dog price before 2027, anchored by CFO Richard Galanti's March 2024 reaffirmation that the price remains "safe for the foreseeable future," likely spanning 5-10 years amid stable membership fee revenues subsidizing food court operations. This loss-leader strategy has endured since 1985 despite inflation eroding purchasing power, with gross margins insulated by 93% renewal rates and 7-8% annual fee hikes. Recent Q3 earnings underscored resilient 9.2% comp sales growth, reinforcing pricing discipline. Challenges could emerge from sustained 5%+ food CPI inflation or supply disruptions, though historical precedent suggests minimal risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Объем
$6,728Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$6,728Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a robust 90.5% implied probability for "No" on Costco raising its iconic $1.50 hot dog price before 2027, anchored by CFO Richard Galanti's March 2024 reaffirmation that the price remains "safe for the foreseeable future," likely spanning 5-10 years amid stable membership fee revenues subsidizing food court operations. This loss-leader strategy has endured since 1985 despite inflation eroding purchasing power, with gross margins insulated by 93% renewal rates and 7-8% annual fee hikes. Recent Q3 earnings underscored resilient 9.2% comp sales growth, reinforcing pricing discipline. Challenges could emerge from sustained 5%+ food CPI inflation or supply disruptions, though historical precedent suggests minimal risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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