The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 4.35 percent cash rate target underpins the 97.3 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 16 meeting. April headline CPI eased to 4.2 percent year-over-year while trimmed-mean inflation held near 3.4 percent, giving policymakers room to evaluate lagged effects on demand and the labor market amid still-elevated price pressures from Middle East energy costs. ASX 30-day interbank futures price the same hold outcome, consistent with the central bank’s data-dependent stance. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or firmer domestic demand could introduce upside risks and test the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 97.2%
Увеличение 2.9%
Снижение <1%
$35,600 Объем
$35,600 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
97%
Увеличение
3%
Без изменений 97.2%
Увеличение 2.9%
Снижение <1%
$35,600 Объем
$35,600 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
97%
Увеличение
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 2026 25-basis-point hike to a 4.35 percent cash rate target underpins the 97.3 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 16 meeting. April headline CPI eased to 4.2 percent year-over-year while trimmed-mean inflation held near 3.4 percent, giving policymakers room to evaluate lagged effects on demand and the labor market amid still-elevated price pressures from Middle East energy costs. ASX 30-day interbank futures price the same hold outcome, consistent with the central bank’s data-dependent stance. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or firmer domestic demand could introduce upside risks and test the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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