Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans against Audemars Piguet secondary market prices hitting the target by April 30, with implied probabilities around 40%, reflecting a broader luxury watch market cooldown. Chrono24 data shows the AP Royal Oak average resale price down 15% year-to-date to roughly $65,000, pressured by softening Chinese demand, elevated interest rates curbing high-net-worth spending, and excess inventory from 2022 peaks. Key catalyst: Watches and Wonders (April 23-27) new releases could spark short-term bids if innovative models like updated Royal Oaks boost hype, but consensus anticipates continued deflation absent a stimulus like Fed rate cuts. Traders watch Chrono24 index thresholds closely for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWill Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30?
Will Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30?
↑ $44,000
5%
↑ $43,000
10%
↑ $42,500
18%
↑ $42,250
26%
↑ $42,000
50%
↑ $41,750
54%
↑ $41,500
93%
↓ $41,000
16%
↓ $40,750
16%
↓ $40,500
15%
↓ $40,250
15%
↓ $40,000
13%
↓ $39,000
7%
$4,916 Объем
↑ $44,000
5%
↑ $43,000
10%
↑ $42,500
18%
↑ $42,250
26%
↑ $42,000
50%
↑ $41,750
54%
↑ $41,500
93%
↓ $41,000
16%
↓ $40,750
16%
↓ $40,500
15%
↓ $40,250
15%
↓ $40,000
13%
↓ $39,000
7%
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Audemars Piguet Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans against Audemars Piguet secondary market prices hitting the target by April 30, with implied probabilities around 40%, reflecting a broader luxury watch market cooldown. Chrono24 data shows the AP Royal Oak average resale price down 15% year-to-date to roughly $65,000, pressured by softening Chinese demand, elevated interest rates curbing high-net-worth spending, and excess inventory from 2022 peaks. Key catalyst: Watches and Wonders (April 23-27) new releases could spark short-term bids if innovative models like updated Royal Oaks boost hype, but consensus anticipates continued deflation absent a stimulus like Fed rate cuts. Traders watch Chrono24 index thresholds closely for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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