Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСнижение 78%
Без изменений 21%
Увеличение 1.3%
$157,154 Объем
$157,154 Объем
Увеличение
1%
Без изменений
21%
Снижение
78%
Снижение 78%
Без изменений 21%
Увеличение 1.3%
$157,154 Объем
$157,154 Объем
Увеличение
1%
Без изменений
21%
Снижение
78%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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