Recent April CPI data, which rose 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has shaped expectations for the May reading scheduled for release on June 10. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.46% monthly increase, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 0.5% at 50.5% while assigning roughly 21% each to 0.4% and 0.6%. Traders appear to price in partial easing from April’s energy surge, tempered by persistent shelter and goods pressures that kept April’s year-over-year rate at 3.8%. The closely clustered probabilities around 0.4–0.6% reflect uncertainty over how quickly tariff and supply effects will moderate, with upcoming labor market and producer price data likely to influence final positioning ahead of the release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 20%
0.3% 3.9%
$49,973 Объем
$49,973 Объем
10 июн. 2026 г.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 20%
0.3% 3.9%
$49,973 Объем
$49,973 Объем
10 июн. 2026 г.
≤0.1%
$1,495 Объем
1%
0.2%
$2,170 Объем
<1%
0.3%
$3,554 Объем
4%
0.4%
$5,177 Объем
21%
0.5%
$9,687 Объем
51%
0.6%
$13,839 Объем
20%
0.7%
$7,792 Объем
2%
0.8%
$3,189 Объем
3%
≥0.9%
$3,070 Объем
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data, which rose 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has shaped expectations for the May reading scheduled for release on June 10. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.46% monthly increase, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 0.5% at 50.5% while assigning roughly 21% each to 0.4% and 0.6%. Traders appear to price in partial easing from April’s energy surge, tempered by persistent shelter and goods pressures that kept April’s year-over-year rate at 3.8%. The closely clustered probabilities around 0.4–0.6% reflect uncertainty over how quickly tariff and supply effects will moderate, with upcoming labor market and producer price data likely to influence final positioning ahead of the release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Объем
$49,973Дата окончания
10 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data, which rose 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has shaped expectations for the May reading scheduled for release on June 10. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.46% monthly increase, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 0.5% at 50.5% while assigning roughly 21% each to 0.4% and 0.6%. Traders appear to price in partial easing from April’s energy surge, tempered by persistent shelter and goods pressures that kept April’s year-over-year rate at 3.8%. The closely clustered probabilities around 0.4–0.6% reflect uncertainty over how quickly tariff and supply effects will moderate, with upcoming labor market and producer price data likely to influence final positioning ahead of the release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$49,973Дата окончания
10 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, which rose 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, has shaped expectations for the May reading scheduled for release on June 10. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.46% monthly increase, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 0.5% at 50.5% while assigning roughly 21% each to 0.4% and 0.6%. Traders appear to price in partial easing from April’s energy surge, tempered by persistent shelter and goods pressures that kept April’s year-over-year rate at 3.8%. The closely clustered probabilities around 0.4–0.6% reflect uncertainty over how quickly tariff and supply effects will moderate, with upcoming labor market and producer price data likely to influence final positioning ahead of the release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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