Recent inflation readings near 6.3% remain above the Bank of Russia’s 4% target, with one-off pressures from fuel prices and a weaker ruble offsetting broader disinflation trends. The central bank’s July cut to 14% and its baseline forecast of a 14.5–14.6% average key rate for 2026 reflect caution over more accommodative fiscal policy and persistent underlying price growth. Analysts expect the September 11 meeting to hold rates steady, leaving October data on inflation, lending, and budget parameters as key inputs for the October 23 decision. Trader consensus remains closely split between no change and a modest cut because any sustained decline in inflation expectations or ruble stabilization could support easing, while renewed price pressures or fiscal surprises could favor a pause.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNo Change 50%
Decrease 43%
Increase 7.4%
$11,301 Объем
$11,301 Объем
Decrease
43%
No Change
50%
Increase
7%
No Change 50%
Decrease 43%
Increase 7.4%
$11,301 Объем
$11,301 Объем
Decrease
43%
No Change
50%
Increase
7%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation readings near 6.3% remain above the Bank of Russia’s 4% target, with one-off pressures from fuel prices and a weaker ruble offsetting broader disinflation trends. The central bank’s July cut to 14% and its baseline forecast of a 14.5–14.6% average key rate for 2026 reflect caution over more accommodative fiscal policy and persistent underlying price growth. Analysts expect the September 11 meeting to hold rates steady, leaving October data on inflation, lending, and budget parameters as key inputs for the October 23 decision. Trader consensus remains closely split between no change and a modest cut because any sustained decline in inflation expectations or ruble stabilization could support easing, while renewed price pressures or fiscal surprises could favor a pause.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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