Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March, driven primarily by a sharp 17.9% energy surge tied to geopolitical oil shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for May point to a further lift toward 4.2%, reflecting ongoing pass-through in gasoline and shelter components amid elevated Treasury yields and firm labor conditions. With trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 4.2% and 4.3%, positioning reflects uncertainty over the pace of energy moderation versus persistent goods pressures ahead of the June 10 release. This setup underscores how recent data releases and forward indicators shape market-implied probabilities in the absence of a dominant consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4.2% 44%
4.3% 40%
≥4,4% 12%
4.1% 5.6%
$356,049 Объем
$356,049 Объем
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
44%
4.3%
40%
≥4,4%
12%
4.2% 44%
4.3% 40%
≥4,4% 12%
4.1% 5.6%
$356,049 Объем
$356,049 Объем
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
44%
4.3%
40%
≥4,4%
12%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March, driven primarily by a sharp 17.9% energy surge tied to geopolitical oil shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for May point to a further lift toward 4.2%, reflecting ongoing pass-through in gasoline and shelter components amid elevated Treasury yields and firm labor conditions. With trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 4.2% and 4.3%, positioning reflects uncertainty over the pace of energy moderation versus persistent goods pressures ahead of the June 10 release. This setup underscores how recent data releases and forward indicators shape market-implied probabilities in the absence of a dominant consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы