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Экономика·Корпус

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Экономика·Корпус

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

<1.154m 45%

1.154 - 1.172m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.154m 45%

1.154 - 1.172m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.154m

$0 Объем

45%

1.154 - 1.172m

$0 Объем

45%

1.172 - 1.19m

$0 Объем

45%

1.19 - 1.208m

$0 Объем

45%

1.208 - 1.226m

$0 Объем

45%

1.226 - 1.244m

$0 Объем

45%

1.244 - 1.262m

$0 Объем

45%

>1.262m

$0 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Polymarket traders price evenly distributed implied probabilities across San Francisco metro median home value bins from below $1.154 million to above $1.262 million, signaling deep uncertainty just weeks from April 30 resolution based on Parcl data. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month but down 2% year-over-year, amid low stale inventory (under 25% regionally) fueling 7.7% year-over-year median sale price gains to $1.5 million in San Francisco proper per Redfin. Countervailing pressures include softer Santa Clara County pricing (-3.5% YoY) and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing broader demand; key swing factors are March sales momentum and tech sector hiring ahead of May ZHVI release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Polymarket traders price evenly distributed implied probabilities across San Francisco metro median home value bins from below $1.154 million to above $1.262 million, signaling deep uncertainty just weeks from April 30 resolution based on Parcl data. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month but down 2% year-over-year, amid low stale inventory (under 25% regionally) fueling 7.7% year-over-year median sale price gains to $1.5 million in San Francisco proper per Redfin. Countervailing pressures include softer Santa Clara County pricing (-3.5% YoY) and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing broader demand; key swing factors are March sales momentum and tech sector hiring ahead of May ZHVI release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<1.154m» с 45%, за ним следует «1.154 - 1.172m» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?» — «<1.154m» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1.154 - 1.172m» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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