Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the DC Metro median home value on April 1 at 542-548k with a 54% implied probability, reflecting stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.2% and rising inventory levels up 18% year-over-year per recent Redfin data. February's median sale price hovered near $545k, down 0.8% month-over-month, as affordability strains persist despite the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and subsequent easing. Leading indicators like subdued sales volume and steady jobless claims in the region support expectations of flat-to-modest softening, with the 548-554k bin at 25.6% capturing upside from spring buying season. Upcoming March home price releases and FOMC projections could sway positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакова будет медианная стоимость жилья в районе DC Metro 1 апреля?
Какова будет медианная стоимость жилья в районе DC Metro 1 апреля?
542 - 548 тыс. 39.0%
548–554 тыс. 29.2%
536 - 542 тыс. 26%
530 – 536 тыс. 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
<518 тыс.
2%
518 - 524 тыс.
9%
524 - 530 тыс.
4%
530 – 536 тыс.
17%
536 - 542 тыс.
17%
542 - 548 тыс.
49%
548–554 тыс.
32%
>554 тыс.
2%
542 - 548 тыс. 39.0%
548–554 тыс. 29.2%
536 - 542 тыс. 26%
530 – 536 тыс. 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
<518 тыс.
$381 Объем
2%
518 - 524 тыс.
$391 Объем
9%
524 - 530 тыс.
$0 Объем
4%
530 – 536 тыс.
$0 Объем
17%
536 - 542 тыс.
$0 Объем
17%
542 - 548 тыс.
$0 Объем
49%
548–554 тыс.
$438 Объем
32%
>554 тыс.
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the DC Metro median home value on April 1 at 542-548k with a 54% implied probability, reflecting stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.2% and rising inventory levels up 18% year-over-year per recent Redfin data. February's median sale price hovered near $545k, down 0.8% month-over-month, as affordability strains persist despite the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and subsequent easing. Leading indicators like subdued sales volume and steady jobless claims in the region support expectations of flat-to-modest softening, with the 548-554k bin at 25.6% capturing upside from spring buying season. Upcoming March home price releases and FOMC projections could sway positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$1,210Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the DC Metro median home value on April 1 at 542-548k with a 54% implied probability, reflecting stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.2% and rising inventory levels up 18% year-over-year per recent Redfin data. February's median sale price hovered near $545k, down 0.8% month-over-month, as affordability strains persist despite the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and subsequent easing. Leading indicators like subdued sales volume and steady jobless claims in the region support expectations of flat-to-modest softening, with the 548-554k bin at 25.6% capturing upside from spring buying season. Upcoming March home price releases and FOMC projections could sway positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Объем
$1,210Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the DC Metro median home value on April 1 at 542-548k with a 54% implied probability, reflecting stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.2% and rising inventory levels up 18% year-over-year per recent Redfin data. February's median sale price hovered near $545k, down 0.8% month-over-month, as affordability strains persist despite the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and subsequent easing. Leading indicators like subdued sales volume and steady jobless claims in the region support expectations of flat-to-modest softening, with the 548-554k bin at 25.6% capturing upside from spring buying season. Upcoming March home price releases and FOMC projections could sway positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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