Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 548-554k bin at 46.1% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting stabilization after February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) printed around $567k-$574k amid modest year-over-year declines of 0.1-3%. Recent March reports highlight slight upticks in contract activity (up 3% YoY) and median sale prices near $585k, offset by rising condo inventory, slower sales volume (down 10%), and persistent 6% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. With no major economic releases or policy shifts in the past week, traders anticipate minimal monthly drift, positioning lower bins as value amid softening luxury outperformance and federal job steadiness. Resolution nears with low volatility expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакова будет медианная стоимость жилья в районе DC Metro 1 апреля?
Какова будет медианная стоимость жилья в районе DC Metro 1 апреля?
548–554 тыс. 49.5%
542 - 548 тыс. 14.5%
530 – 536 тыс. 13%
>554 тыс. 11.5%
$11,034 Объем
$11,034 Объем
Apr 1, 2026
<518 тыс.
1%
518 - 524 тыс.
6%
524 - 530 тыс.
3%
530 – 536 тыс.
10%
536 - 542 тыс.
8%
542 - 548 тыс.
14%
548–554 тыс.
46%
>554 тыс.
12%
548–554 тыс. 49.5%
542 - 548 тыс. 14.5%
530 – 536 тыс. 13%
>554 тыс. 11.5%
$11,034 Объем
$11,034 Объем
Apr 1, 2026
<518 тыс.
$381 Объем
1%
518 - 524 тыс.
$391 Объем
6%
524 - 530 тыс.
$0 Объем
3%
530 – 536 тыс.
$827 Объем
10%
536 - 542 тыс.
$1,087 Объем
8%
542 - 548 тыс.
$7,094 Объем
14%
548–554 тыс.
$789 Объем
46%
>554 тыс.
$465 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 548-554k bin at 46.1% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting stabilization after February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) printed around $567k-$574k amid modest year-over-year declines of 0.1-3%. Recent March reports highlight slight upticks in contract activity (up 3% YoY) and median sale prices near $585k, offset by rising condo inventory, slower sales volume (down 10%), and persistent 6% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. With no major economic releases or policy shifts in the past week, traders anticipate minimal monthly drift, positioning lower bins as value amid softening luxury outperformance and federal job steadiness. Resolution nears with low volatility expected.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$11,034Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 548-554k bin at 46.1% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting stabilization after February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) printed around $567k-$574k amid modest year-over-year declines of 0.1-3%. Recent March reports highlight slight upticks in contract activity (up 3% YoY) and median sale prices near $585k, offset by rising condo inventory, slower sales volume (down 10%), and persistent 6% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. With no major economic releases or policy shifts in the past week, traders anticipate minimal monthly drift, positioning lower bins as value amid softening luxury outperformance and federal job steadiness. Resolution nears with low volatility expected.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Объем
$11,034Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 548-554k bin at 46.1% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting stabilization after February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) printed around $567k-$574k amid modest year-over-year declines of 0.1-3%. Recent March reports highlight slight upticks in contract activity (up 3% YoY) and median sale prices near $585k, offset by rising condo inventory, slower sales volume (down 10%), and persistent 6% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. With no major economic releases or policy shifts in the past week, traders anticipate minimal monthly drift, positioning lower bins as value amid softening luxury outperformance and federal job steadiness. Resolution nears with low volatility expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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