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What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

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Экономика·Скрыть от нового

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

431 - 433k 48%

<429k 45%

429 - 431k 45%

433 - 435k 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

431 - 433k 48%

<429k 45%

429 - 431k 45%

433 - 435k 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<429k

$0 Объем

45%

429 - 431k

$0 Объем

45%

431 - 433k

$0 Объем

48%

433 - 435k

$0 Объем

45%

435 - 437k

$0 Объем

45%

437 - 439k

$0 Объем

45%

439 - 441k

$0 Объем

45%

>441k

$0 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24) Polymarket traders have priced near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% across the 429k–431k, 431k–433k, and 433k–435k bins for Parcl Labs' US median home value on April 30, signaling tight consensus for essential price stability amid a softening housing market. This reflects February's Zillow Home Value Index rise of just 0.1% month-over-month to $361k—though Parcl's higher median tracks similar stagnation—driven by persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing demand while inventory climbs 13% year-over-year per recent reports. Key differentiators include March existing home sales data and the FOMC meeting on April 29–30, where rate cut signals could spur buyer activity; absent surprises, trader sentiment favors minimal month-end drift around 432k.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24) Polymarket traders have priced near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% across the 429k–431k, 431k–433k, and 433k–435k bins for Parcl Labs' US median home value on April 30, signaling tight consensus for essential price stability amid a softening housing market. This reflects February's Zillow Home Value Index rise of just 0.1% month-over-month to $361k—though Parcl's higher median tracks similar stagnation—driven by persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing demand while inventory climbs 13% year-over-year per recent reports. Key differentiators include March existing home sales data and the FOMC meeting on April 29–30, where rate cut signals could spur buyer activity; absent surprises, trader sentiment favors minimal month-end drift around 432k.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «431 - 433k» с 48%, за ним следует «<429k» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?» — «431 - 433k» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<429k» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.