Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split in implied probabilities around 49% across bins near $1.20–$1.355 million for Miami's Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (multiplied by 2,100 square feet), signaling deep uncertainty just one month from resolution. Recent stabilization in the index—near $1.20 million equivalent after February's mixed signals, including Zillow's 2.3% YoY decline to $574,000 typical value contrasted by Redfin's 11.5% median sale price rise to $725,000—has fueled the deadlock. Key differentiators include rising inventory (up 9% YoY per Miami Realtors), net migration outflows dampening demand, versus prospective 30-year mortgage rates dipping toward 5.8% by year-end, potentially boosting buyer activity. Watch March sales data and April FOMC for resolution catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<1,18 млн 50%
1,215 - 1,25 млн 49%
1.285 - 1.32 млн 49%
1,32–1,355 млн 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 мая 2026 г.
<1,18 млн
50%
1,18 - 1,215 млн
49%
1,215 - 1,25 млн
49%
1,25 - 1,285 млн
49%
1.285 - 1.32 млн
49%
1,32–1,355 млн
49%
>1,355 млн
49%
<1,18 млн 50%
1,215 - 1,25 млн 49%
1.285 - 1.32 млн 49%
1,32–1,355 млн 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 мая 2026 г.
<1,18 млн
$0 Объем
50%
1,18 - 1,215 млн
$0 Объем
49%
1,215 - 1,25 млн
$0 Объем
49%
1,25 - 1,285 млн
$0 Объем
49%
1.285 - 1.32 млн
$0 Объем
49%
1,32–1,355 млн
$0 Объем
49%
>1,355 млн
$0 Объем
49%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split in implied probabilities around 49% across bins near $1.20–$1.355 million for Miami's Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (multiplied by 2,100 square feet), signaling deep uncertainty just one month from resolution. Recent stabilization in the index—near $1.20 million equivalent after February's mixed signals, including Zillow's 2.3% YoY decline to $574,000 typical value contrasted by Redfin's 11.5% median sale price rise to $725,000—has fueled the deadlock. Key differentiators include rising inventory (up 9% YoY per Miami Realtors), net migration outflows dampening demand, versus prospective 30-year mortgage rates dipping toward 5.8% by year-end, potentially boosting buyer activity. Watch March sales data and April FOMC for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split in implied probabilities around 49% across bins near $1.20–$1.355 million for Miami's Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (multiplied by 2,100 square feet), signaling deep uncertainty just one month from resolution. Recent stabilization in the index—near $1.20 million equivalent after February's mixed signals, including Zillow's 2.3% YoY decline to $574,000 typical value contrasted by Redfin's 11.5% median sale price rise to $725,000—has fueled the deadlock. Key differentiators include rising inventory (up 9% YoY per Miami Realtors), net migration outflows dampening demand, versus prospective 30-year mortgage rates dipping toward 5.8% by year-end, potentially boosting buyer activity. Watch March sales data and April FOMC for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split in implied probabilities around 49% across bins near $1.20–$1.355 million for Miami's Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (multiplied by 2,100 square feet), signaling deep uncertainty just one month from resolution. Recent stabilization in the index—near $1.20 million equivalent after February's mixed signals, including Zillow's 2.3% YoY decline to $574,000 typical value contrasted by Redfin's 11.5% median sale price rise to $725,000—has fueled the deadlock. Key differentiators include rising inventory (up 9% YoY per Miami Realtors), net migration outflows dampening demand, versus prospective 30-year mortgage rates dipping toward 5.8% by year-end, potentially boosting buyer activity. Watch March sales data and April FOMC for resolution catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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