Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
575 - 580k 41.9%
580 - 585k 28.6%
590 - 595k 6.0%
570 - 575k 3.1%
$14,269 Объем
$14,269 Объем
<570k
2%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
42%
580 - 585k
38%
585 - 590k
2%
590 - 595k
8%
595 - 600k
2%
>600k
3%
575 - 580k 41.9%
580 - 585k 28.6%
590 - 595k 6.0%
570 - 575k 3.1%
$14,269 Объем
$14,269 Объем
<570k
2%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
42%
580 - 585k
38%
585 - 590k
2%
590 - 595k
8%
595 - 600k
2%
>600k
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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