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Политика·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers April 5?

Market icon
Политика·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers April 5?

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2.6M-2.8M 73%

2.8M-3.0M 53%

<2.6M 36%

3.0M-3.2M 1.1%

Polymarket

$749 Объем

2.6M-2.8M 73%

2.8M-3.0M 53%

<2.6M 36%

3.0M-3.2M 1.1%

Polymarket

$749 Объем

<2.6M

$0 Объем

36%

2.6M-2.8M

$2 Объем

73%

2.8M-3.0M

$0 Объем

53%

3.0M-3.2M

$25 Объем

1%

3.2M-3.4M

$470 Объем

<1%

>3.4M

$253 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus favors 2.6M-2.8M passengers at TSA checkpoints on April 5 at 73.5% implied probability, reflecting sustained spring break travel demand into early April despite a recent dip from late-March peaks near 2.76M on March 29. Official TSA data shows April 2 (Tuesday) at 2.71M and April 1 at 2.36M, with weekends like March 30 (Saturday) at 2.53M, positioning Saturday April 5 for a comparable uplift amid normalizing wait times following DHS shutdown resolution and backpay issuance to agents. The adjacent 2.8M-3.0M outcome at 48% accounts for potential lingering holiday surges, while sub-2.6M at 37.5% hedges against further volume softening as spring break wanes regionally. Airlines project 2.8M daily averages through April, bolstering mid-range expectations.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$749
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus favors 2.6M-2.8M passengers at TSA checkpoints on April 5 at 73.5% implied probability, reflecting sustained spring break travel demand into early April despite a recent dip from late-March peaks near 2.76M on March 29. Official TSA data shows April 2 (Tuesday) at 2.71M and April 1 at 2.36M, with weekends like March 30 (Saturday) at 2.53M, positioning Saturday April 5 for a comparable uplift amid normalizing wait times following DHS shutdown resolution and backpay issuance to agents. The adjacent 2.8M-3.0M outcome at 48% accounts for potential lingering holiday surges, while sub-2.6M at 37.5% hedges against further volume softening as spring break wanes regionally. Airlines project 2.8M daily averages through April, bolstering mid-range expectations.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$749
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of TSA Passengers April 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «2.6M-2.8M» с 73%, за ним следует «<2.6M» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 73¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 73%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of TSA Passengers April 5?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of TSA Passengers April 5?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of TSA Passengers April 5?» — «2.6M-2.8M» с 73%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 73%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<2.6M» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of TSA Passengers April 5?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.