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Мир·Автоматизация наград 50 4.5 50

Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?

Market icon
Мир·Автоматизация наград 50 4.5 50

Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?

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<3,0 млн 68%

3,0М–3,2М 41%

3,2M-3,4M 28%

3,4–3,6 млн 1.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<3,0 млн 68%

3,0М–3,2М 41%

3,2M-3,4M 28%

3,4–3,6 млн 1.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<3,0 млн

$282 Объем

68%

3,0М–3,2М

$0 Объем

41%

3,2M-3,4M

$1,055 Объем

28%

3,4–3,6 млн

$1,130 Объем

1%

3,6–3,8 млн

$1,075 Объем

1%

>3,8 млн

$1,053 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Ongoing TSA staffing shortages amid the government shutdown have suppressed checkpoint throughput to an average 2.45 million passengers over the past 10 days, including April 1, 2026's 2.36 million (-10% YoY), anchoring trader consensus below 3.0 million for April 4 at 60.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Record wait times topping four hours—exacerbated by 40% staff callouts—have deterred demand, with surveys showing one-third of Americans delaying spring trips despite Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily forecast. Easter Sunday (April 5) proximity bolsters the 3.0-3.2 million bin at 41%, but recent sub-2.8 million peaks signal persistent caution ahead of April 2-3 releases.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$4,596
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Ongoing TSA staffing shortages amid the government shutdown have suppressed checkpoint throughput to an average 2.45 million passengers over the past 10 days, including April 1, 2026's 2.36 million (-10% YoY), anchoring trader consensus below 3.0 million for April 4 at 60.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Record wait times topping four hours—exacerbated by 40% staff callouts—have deterred demand, with surveys showing one-third of Americans delaying spring trips despite Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily forecast. Easter Sunday (April 5) proximity bolsters the 3.0-3.2 million bin at 41%, but recent sub-2.8 million peaks signal persistent caution ahead of April 2-3 releases.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$4,596
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<3,0 млн» с 68%, за ним следует «3,0М–3,2М» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 68¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?» — «<3,0 млн» с 68%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Следующий ближайший исход — «3,0М–3,2М» с 41%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.