Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% implied probability for the Bank of England to hold interest rates steady at its April Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by sticky services inflation at 5.9% in February despite headline CPI easing to 3.4% year-over-year, alongside robust wage growth near 6% excluding bonuses signaling persistent price pressures. The 29% odds for a rate hike reflect hawkish MPC voices highlighted in March 21 meeting minutes, where policymakers emphasized balanced risks but demanded further evidence before easing amid strong labor market data. Low probabilities for cuts (under 3% combined) underscore caution against premature monetary loosening, with traders eyeing upcoming March CPI release on April 17 and Q1 GDP figures as key catalysts that could shift the path versus the current 5.25% Bank Rate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРешение Банка Англии в апреле?
Решение Банка Англии в апреле?
Без изменений 72%
Повышение 26.4%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. 1.3%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 1.1%
$180,661 Объем
$180,661 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
1%
Без изменений
72%
Повышение
26%
Без изменений 72%
Повышение 26.4%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. 1.3%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 1.1%
$180,661 Объем
$180,661 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
1%
Без изменений
72%
Повышение
26%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% implied probability for the Bank of England to hold interest rates steady at its April Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by sticky services inflation at 5.9% in February despite headline CPI easing to 3.4% year-over-year, alongside robust wage growth near 6% excluding bonuses signaling persistent price pressures. The 29% odds for a rate hike reflect hawkish MPC voices highlighted in March 21 meeting minutes, where policymakers emphasized balanced risks but demanded further evidence before easing amid strong labor market data. Low probabilities for cuts (under 3% combined) underscore caution against premature monetary loosening, with traders eyeing upcoming March CPI release on April 17 and Q1 GDP figures as key catalysts that could shift the path versus the current 5.25% Bank Rate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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