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Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?

Market icon
Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?

мар. 29

апр. 4

апр. 5

апр. 6

мар. 29

апр. 4

апр. 5

апр. 6

6,500-7,000 40%

5,500-6,000 25%

>7,000 11%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$8,832 Объем

6,500-7,000 40%

5,500-6,000 25%

>7,000 11%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$8,832 Объем

<4,000

$1,855 Объем

<1%

4,000-4,500

$1,713 Объем

<1%

4,500-5,000

$3,504 Объем

1%

5,000-5,500

$1,201 Объем

1%

5,500-6,000

$335 Объем

18%

6,000-6,500

$81 Объем

52%

6,500-7,000

$67 Объем

40%

>7,000

$75 Объем

11%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe weather disruptions dominated April 4 air travel, with spring storms, low clouds, and FAA ground delay programs at major hubs like Boston Logan, New York-area airports, Chicago O'Hare, and Dallas-Fort Worth triggering widespread delays amid Easter weekend peak volumes. Preliminary FlightAware reports indicate over 5,600 delays and nearly 500 cancellations, exceeding the 2026 daily average of around 5,600, but cascading effects from thunderstorms and air traffic control staffing shortages have traders pricing a consensus around 6,000-7,000 delays—favoring 6,000-6,500 (52.5%) over 6,500-7,000 (39.5%)—pending final Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation of 15+ minute delays. Ongoing FAA advisories highlight risks at additional sites like Philadelphia and Orlando.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$8,832
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe weather disruptions dominated April 4 air travel, with spring storms, low clouds, and FAA ground delay programs at major hubs like Boston Logan, New York-area airports, Chicago O'Hare, and Dallas-Fort Worth triggering widespread delays amid Easter weekend peak volumes. Preliminary FlightAware reports indicate over 5,600 delays and nearly 500 cancellations, exceeding the 2026 daily average of around 5,600, but cascading effects from thunderstorms and air traffic control staffing shortages have traders pricing a consensus around 6,000-7,000 delays—favoring 6,000-6,500 (52.5%) over 6,500-7,000 (39.5%)—pending final Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation of 15+ minute delays. Ongoing FAA advisories highlight risks at additional sites like Philadelphia and Orlando.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$8,832
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «6,000-6,500» с 52%, за ним следует «6,500-7,000» с 40%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» — «6,000-6,500» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «6,500-7,000» с 40%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.