Polymarket traders price a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to hold its repo rate steady at 6.5% in the April 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting February CPI inflation cooling to 5.09% year-over-year—below the RBI's 6% upper tolerance—amid steady core inflation at 3.9% and robust 8.4% Q3 GDP growth. This consensus builds on Governor Shaktikanta Das's hawkish stance in February, emphasizing withdrawal of accommodation despite food price volatility from uneven monsoons and geopolitical risks. A 23% chance of a rate cut stems from projections of FY25 CPI averaging 4.2-4.5%, while hikes at 13.6% appear unlikely given cooling price pressures; watch March CPI data due late April for potential shifts in trader sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБез изменений 73%
Повышение 23.6%
Снижение 5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
Снижение
23%
Без изменений
63%
Повышение
14%
Без изменений 73%
Повышение 23.6%
Снижение 5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
Снижение
$83 Объем
23%
Без изменений
$209 Объем
63%
Повышение
$0 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to hold its repo rate steady at 6.5% in the April 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting February CPI inflation cooling to 5.09% year-over-year—below the RBI's 6% upper tolerance—amid steady core inflation at 3.9% and robust 8.4% Q3 GDP growth. This consensus builds on Governor Shaktikanta Das's hawkish stance in February, emphasizing withdrawal of accommodation despite food price volatility from uneven monsoons and geopolitical risks. A 23% chance of a rate cut stems from projections of FY25 CPI averaging 4.2-4.5%, while hikes at 13.6% appear unlikely given cooling price pressures; watch March CPI data due late April for potential shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$292Дата окончания
Apr 8, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to hold its repo rate steady at 6.5% in the April 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting February CPI inflation cooling to 5.09% year-over-year—below the RBI's 6% upper tolerance—amid steady core inflation at 3.9% and robust 8.4% Q3 GDP growth. This consensus builds on Governor Shaktikanta Das's hawkish stance in February, emphasizing withdrawal of accommodation despite food price volatility from uneven monsoons and geopolitical risks. A 23% chance of a rate cut stems from projections of FY25 CPI averaging 4.2-4.5%, while hikes at 13.6% appear unlikely given cooling price pressures; watch March CPI data due late April for potential shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$292Дата окончания
Apr 8, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to hold its repo rate steady at 6.5% in the April 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting February CPI inflation cooling to 5.09% year-over-year—below the RBI's 6% upper tolerance—amid steady core inflation at 3.9% and robust 8.4% Q3 GDP growth. This consensus builds on Governor Shaktikanta Das's hawkish stance in February, emphasizing withdrawal of accommodation despite food price volatility from uneven monsoons and geopolitical risks. A 23% chance of a rate cut stems from projections of FY25 CPI averaging 4.2-4.5%, while hikes at 13.6% appear unlikely given cooling price pressures; watch March CPI data due late April for potential shifts in trader sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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