Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la República) to hike its benchmark rate at the April 29-30 meeting, driven by March CPI inflation accelerating to 7.95% year-over-year—up from 7.39% in February and above consensus forecasts—signaling persistent price pressures amid a weakening Colombian peso and elevated core inflation near 8%. The board's 4-3 vote to hold rates steady at 13% in the March 28 decision underscored internal hawkish divisions, reinforcing market-implied odds favoring tightening to anchor expectations. No change trades at 10.5% amid balanced risks, while a cut at 0.3% reflects negligible dovish scenarios given sticky inflation data. Key watch: April trade balance and retail sales releases ahead of the policy verdict.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРешение Центрального банка Колумбии в апреле?
Решение Центрального банка Колумбии в апреле?
Повышение 85%
Без изменений 10%
Снижение <1%
$15,425 Объем
$15,425 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
10%
Повышение
85%
Повышение 85%
Без изменений 10%
Снижение <1%
$15,425 Объем
$15,425 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
10%
Повышение
85%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la República) to hike its benchmark rate at the April 29-30 meeting, driven by March CPI inflation accelerating to 7.95% year-over-year—up from 7.39% in February and above consensus forecasts—signaling persistent price pressures amid a weakening Colombian peso and elevated core inflation near 8%. The board's 4-3 vote to hold rates steady at 13% in the March 28 decision underscored internal hawkish divisions, reinforcing market-implied odds favoring tightening to anchor expectations. No change trades at 10.5% amid balanced risks, while a cut at 0.3% reflects negligible dovish scenarios given sticky inflation data. Key watch: April trade balance and retail sales releases ahead of the policy verdict.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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