Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change to the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4% for the March 30 Monetary Policy Committee decision, with 96.3% implied probability reflecting economist polls and recent data. Inflation ticked up to 2% in February—within the 1-3% target but signaling caution—amid heightened geopolitical tensions with Iran that could fuel price pressures, as cited in the February hold. Governor Amir Yaron emphasized data-dependent policy and market stabilization, aligning with February's pause after January's cut. Realistic challenges include sudden de-escalation enabling easing or weaker-than-expected growth data, though current fiscal and conflict risks reinforce the steady stance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРешение Банка Израиля в марте?
Решение Банка Израиля в марте?
Без изменений 98.2%
Повышение 1.5%
Снижение 1.2%
$27,214 Объем
$27,214 Объем
Снижение
1%
Без изменений
98%
Повышение
2%
Без изменений 98.2%
Повышение 1.5%
Снижение 1.2%
$27,214 Объем
$27,214 Объем
Снижение
1%
Без изменений
98%
Повышение
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change to the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4% for the March 30 Monetary Policy Committee decision, with 96.3% implied probability reflecting economist polls and recent data. Inflation ticked up to 2% in February—within the 1-3% target but signaling caution—amid heightened geopolitical tensions with Iran that could fuel price pressures, as cited in the February hold. Governor Amir Yaron emphasized data-dependent policy and market stabilization, aligning with February's pause after January's cut. Realistic challenges include sudden de-escalation enabling easing or weaker-than-expected growth data, though current fiscal and conflict risks reinforce the steady stance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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