Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, anchored by persistent services inflation and upside risks to the consumer price index trajectory despite recent monetary easing. November 2024 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year from October's 2.3%, with core measures at 3.5% and services inflation holding near 5%, signaling sticky price pressures amid resilient wage growth around 5%. The Bank of England's November Monetary Policy Committee cut the base rate to 4.75% but emphasized data dependence, with latest Inflation Report projections showing consumer prices staying above the 2% target through much of 2026. December 19 MPC meeting and January CPI release loom as pivotal catalysts, where hotter-than-expected data could reinforce hike expectations against a backdrop of fiscal loosening risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$12,515 Объем
$12,515 Объем
Да
$12,515 Объем
$12,515 Объем
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, anchored by persistent services inflation and upside risks to the consumer price index trajectory despite recent monetary easing. November 2024 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year from October's 2.3%, with core measures at 3.5% and services inflation holding near 5%, signaling sticky price pressures amid resilient wage growth around 5%. The Bank of England's November Monetary Policy Committee cut the base rate to 4.75% but emphasized data dependence, with latest Inflation Report projections showing consumer prices staying above the 2% target through much of 2026. December 19 MPC meeting and January CPI release loom as pivotal catalysts, where hotter-than-expected data could reinforce hike expectations against a backdrop of fiscal loosening risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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