Elevated euro-area inflation, driven by sharp rises in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, underpins trader consensus around a near-certain ECB rate hike sometime in 2026. April inflation reached 3 percent, with staff projections revised upward to 2.6 percent for the year, prompting Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel to signal openness to a 25-basis-point deposit facility rate increase as early as June if incoming data fail to show improvement. Markets now price at least one or two such moves, consistent with the current 2.00 percent policy rate and data-dependent forward guidance. A rapid de-escalation of energy supply disruptions or materially softer growth and price readings could still shift the trajectory before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПовышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Повышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Да
$124,184 Объем
$124,184 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$124,184 Объем
$124,184 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated euro-area inflation, driven by sharp rises in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, underpins trader consensus around a near-certain ECB rate hike sometime in 2026. April inflation reached 3 percent, with staff projections revised upward to 2.6 percent for the year, prompting Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel to signal openness to a 25-basis-point deposit facility rate increase as early as June if incoming data fail to show improvement. Markets now price at least one or two such moves, consistent with the current 2.00 percent policy rate and data-dependent forward guidance. A rapid de-escalation of energy supply disruptions or materially softer growth and price readings could still shift the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$124,184Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated euro-area inflation, driven by sharp rises in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, underpins trader consensus around a near-certain ECB rate hike sometime in 2026. April inflation reached 3 percent, with staff projections revised upward to 2.6 percent for the year, prompting Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel to signal openness to a 25-basis-point deposit facility rate increase as early as June if incoming data fail to show improvement. Markets now price at least one or two such moves, consistent with the current 2.00 percent policy rate and data-dependent forward guidance. A rapid de-escalation of energy supply disruptions or materially softer growth and price readings could still shift the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$124,184Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated euro-area inflation, driven by sharp rises in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, underpins trader consensus around a near-certain ECB rate hike sometime in 2026. April inflation reached 3 percent, with staff projections revised upward to 2.6 percent for the year, prompting Governing Council members including Bundesbank President Nagel to signal openness to a 25-basis-point deposit facility rate increase as early as June if incoming data fail to show improvement. Markets now price at least one or two such moves, consistent with the current 2.00 percent policy rate and data-dependent forward guidance. A rapid de-escalation of energy supply disruptions or materially softer growth and price readings could still shift the trajectory before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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