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Recontar previsões e probabilidades

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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

6%

Lebanon

$336K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

20%

Belgium

$625K Vol.

$57.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

23%

$6.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

16%

$154K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

18

Ends em 8 meses

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC

40%

Draw (CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC)

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC

CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC

57%

CD Cuenca

$64 Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

US recognize Somaliland by...?

US recognize Somaliland by...?

6%

June 30

$11.5K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

46%

Trump Family

$3.6K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Liga Endesa: Winner

Liga Endesa: Winner

50%

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

$1.2K Vol.

$44 Liq.

1

Ends em 22 dias

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

127

Ends em 8 meses

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14%

$28.4K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

25%

$41.8K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

11%

$3.9K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

23%

Paxton 6–9%

$59.4K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 dias

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

100%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$522K Vol.

$135K Liq.

10

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$66.2K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

2

Ends há 12 dias

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

24%

Bass 0–5%

$6.6K Vol.

$84.3K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

10

Ends em 5 meses

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

38%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$14.9K Vol.

$93.8K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Recontar.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Recontar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Recontar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.