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Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

$130,177 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$130,177 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Coreia do Norte

$11,451 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cuba

$683 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Arábia Saudita

$4,381 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Líbano

$17,620 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Afeganistão

$81 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Iraque

$361 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Paquistão

$226 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Síria

$4,387 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Venezuela

$80,172 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Tunísia

$490 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Kuwait

$1,040 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Catar

$955 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Indonésia

$6,928 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Malásia

$458 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Bangladesh

$974 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 of 193 UN member states, primarily lacking formal ties with 28-30 Muslim-majority holdouts including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Algeria, and Iran, due to longstanding opposition tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. No new recognitions have materialized since the 2020 Abraham Accords expanded normalization with UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, amid persistent regional tensions from Gaza operations and Iran strikes into early 2026. Saudi Arabia remains the focal point for traders, with U.S.-brokered talks stalled absent Palestinian progress, as evidenced by recent condemnations and passport bans like Maldives in March. Absent de-escalation or breakthroughs at upcoming summits, trader consensus reflects slim odds for shifts by June 30.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$130,177
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 of 193 UN member states, primarily lacking formal ties with 28-30 Muslim-majority holdouts including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Algeria, and Iran, due to longstanding opposition tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. No new recognitions have materialized since the 2020 Abraham Accords expanded normalization with UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, amid persistent regional tensions from Gaza operations and Iran strikes into early 2026. Saudi Arabia remains the focal point for traders, with U.S.-brokered talks stalled absent Palestinian progress, as evidenced by recent condemnations and passport bans like Maldives in March. Absent de-escalation or breakthroughs at upcoming summits, trader consensus reflects slim odds for shifts by June 30.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$130,177
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arábia Saudita" at 14%, followed by "Tunísia" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" has generated $130.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is "Arábia Saudita" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tunísia" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.