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Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

$130,655 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$130,655 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Coreia do Norte

$11,535 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Cuba

$693 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Arábia Saudita

$4,386 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Líbano

$17,645 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Afeganistão

$106 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Iraque

$367 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Paquistão

$231 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Síria

$4,451 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Venezuela

$80,198 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Tunísia

$495 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Kuwait

$1,045 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Catar

$985 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Indonésia

$6,933 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Malásia

$483 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Bangladesh

$1,102 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of early 2026, Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 United Nations member states, leaving about 29 holdouts—primarily Muslim-majority nations including Algeria, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Iraq, Lebanon, Malaysia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others—amid entrenched opposition tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with recent developments like Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland (a self-declared state not widely acknowledged) failing to prompt reciprocal sovereign actions or shift major holdouts. Normalization via the Abraham Accords remains stalled post-2023 Gaza war, as Saudi Arabia and Indonesia reiterate preconditions of Palestinian statehood. Traders should watch U.S.-mediated talks or regional summits before June 30, though geopolitical tensions signal low near-term momentum for breakthroughs.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$130,655
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of early 2026, Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 United Nations member states, leaving about 29 holdouts—primarily Muslim-majority nations including Algeria, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Iraq, Lebanon, Malaysia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others—amid entrenched opposition tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with recent developments like Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland (a self-declared state not widely acknowledged) failing to prompt reciprocal sovereign actions or shift major holdouts. Normalization via the Abraham Accords remains stalled post-2023 Gaza war, as Saudi Arabia and Indonesia reiterate preconditions of Palestinian statehood. Traders should watch U.S.-mediated talks or regional summits before June 30, though geopolitical tensions signal low near-term momentum for breakthroughs.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$130,655
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arábia Saudita" at 12%, followed by "Tunísia" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" has generated $130.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is "Arábia Saudita" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tunísia" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.