2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

26%

Democrats 8-10%

$27.9K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

19%

$177 Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

77%

$3.1K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

79%

$27.7K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

48%

$20.5K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

89%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$119K Liq.

7

Ends in 5 months

Montana Senate Election Winner

Montana Senate Election Winner

83%

Republican

$42.5K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$116K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$839K Liq.

63

Ends in over 2 years

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

57%

Republican

$162K Vol.

$72.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

94%

Republican

$10.9K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

96%

Democrat

$11.0K Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Florida Governor Election Winner

Florida Governor Election Winner

74%

Republican

$10.8K Vol.

$51.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

86%

Republican

$19.4K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Social Democrats

$39.6K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

6

Idaho Governor Election Winner

Idaho Governor Election Winner

94%

Republican

$6.9K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

75%

Democrats (D)

$109K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

4

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Kansas Governor Election Winner

61%

Republican

$4.7K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

77%

Democrat

$48.1K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

87%

Democrat

$42.6K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Democrats.

Polymarket currently hosts 254 active markets for Democrats that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue tsunami in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to Scottish National Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democrats predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.