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Política·Partido Democrático

Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?

Market icon
Política·Partido Democrático

Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?

Sim

77% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

77% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling trends in the core four 2026 Senate battlegrounds—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—have propelled trader consensus to a 76.5% implied probability of Democratic victories across all, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of favorable fundamentals for the out-party in midterms. A Quantus Insights survey released April 2 shows former Gov. Roy Cooper leading RNC Chair Michael Whatley 49%-44% in North Carolina amid President Trump's 54% disapproval rating there, while New York Times-updated averages indicate Democratic edges in Georgia (incumbent Jon Ossoff), Michigan (open seat post-Gary Peters retirement), and Maine (challengers to Susan Collins). These leads, consistent with Newsweek's report of Democrats edging Republicans in the quartet last week, outweigh historical volatility, though primaries and economic shifts could alter paths to victory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$3,066
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling trends in the core four 2026 Senate battlegrounds—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—have propelled trader consensus to a 76.5% implied probability of Democratic victories across all, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of favorable fundamentals for the out-party in midterms. A Quantus Insights survey released April 2 shows former Gov. Roy Cooper leading RNC Chair Michael Whatley 49%-44% in North Carolina amid President Trump's 54% disapproval rating there, while New York Times-updated averages indicate Democratic edges in Georgia (incumbent Jon Ossoff), Michigan (open seat post-Gary Peters retirement), and Maine (challengers to Susan Collins). These leads, consistent with Newsweek's report of Democrats edging Republicans in the quartet last week, outweigh historical volatility, though primaries and economic shifts could alter paths to victory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$3,066
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Os democratas vão vencer todas as quatro principais disputas pelo Senado?" at 77%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?" is "Os democratas vão vencer todas as quatro principais disputas pelo Senado?" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.