Recent polls showing Democrat Amy Acton leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by slim margins, such as 53%-43% in an early March EMC Research survey and 46%-45% in mid-March Quantus Insights data, have driven trader consensus to imply a 55.5% probability for the Democratic nominee in the closely contested 2026 Ohio gubernatorial race. This open-seat contest, with incumbent Mike DeWine term-limited, breaks Ohio's two-decade Republican hold on the governorship, amid shifting voter preferences among women and independents noted in December Emerson polling. Ramaswamy's March 17 launch of a $10 million ad blitz and high-profile endorsements from Donald Trump and JD Vance aim to close the gap ahead of May 5 primaries, but current polling averages maintain Acton's edge in this battleground state battle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$70,520 Vol.
$70,520 Vol.

Democrata
54%

Republicano
44%
$70,520 Vol.
$70,520 Vol.

Democrata
54%

Republicano
44%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls showing Democrat Amy Acton leading Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by slim margins, such as 53%-43% in an early March EMC Research survey and 46%-45% in mid-March Quantus Insights data, have driven trader consensus to imply a 55.5% probability for the Democratic nominee in the closely contested 2026 Ohio gubernatorial race. This open-seat contest, with incumbent Mike DeWine term-limited, breaks Ohio's two-decade Republican hold on the governorship, amid shifting voter preferences among women and independents noted in December Emerson polling. Ramaswamy's March 17 launch of a $10 million ad blitz and high-profile endorsements from Donald Trump and JD Vance aim to close the gap ahead of May 5 primaries, but current polling averages maintain Acton's edge in this battleground state battle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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