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O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?

Market icon

O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Sim

41% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sim

41% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors no new full BRICS member in 2026 at 59%, driven by the group's cautious expansion stance following the October 2024 Kazan summit, where leaders introduced a "partner country" category for 13 nations—including Algeria, Nigeria, and Turkey—instead of granting full membership to avoid diluting influence amid consensus hurdles among the 10 current members. No official announcements have emerged for 2026 additions ahead of the 2025 Rio de Janeiro summit, with internal divergences (e.g., India's reservations) and external pressures like U.S. President-elect Trump's tariff threats against de-dollarization efforts reinforcing skepticism. While interest persists from countries like Pakistan and Venezuela, procedural requirements for unanimous approval make rapid growth unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors no new full BRICS member in 2026 at 59%, driven by the group's cautious expansion stance following the October 2024 Kazan summit, where leaders introduced a "partner country" category for 13 nations—including Algeria, Nigeria, and Turkey—instead of granting full membership to avoid diluting influence amid consensus hurdles among the 10 current members. No official announcements have emerged for 2026 additions ahead of the 2025 Rio de Janeiro summit, with internal divergences (e.g., India's reservations) and external pressures like U.S. President-elect Trump's tariff threats against de-dollarization efforts reinforcing skepticism. While interest persists from countries like Pakistan and Venezuela, procedural requirements for unanimous approval make rapid growth unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Os BRICS adicionarão um novo membro em 2026?" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" is "Os BRICS adicionarão um novo membro em 2026?" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.