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icon for Nada Nunca Acontece: Março

Nada Nunca Acontece: Março

icon for Nada Nunca Acontece: Março

Nada Nunca Acontece: Março

Nada

61% chance
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

Nada

61% chance
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven by the failure of five out of six triggers by March 31, 2026, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at its March 18 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime enduring amid U.S. strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or Trump declaration of an election interference national emergency. The sole pending condition—both James Talarico and John Cornyn advancing as candidates in the Texas U.S. Senate election—hinges on Cornyn's GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26; a May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45% among likely Republican voters, tilting odds toward "Nothing" absent a late shift.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,774
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven by the failure of five out of six triggers by March 31, 2026, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at its March 18 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime enduring amid U.S. strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or Trump declaration of an election interference national emergency. The sole pending condition—both James Talarico and John Cornyn advancing as candidates in the Texas U.S. Senate election—hinges on Cornyn's GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26; a May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45% among likely Republican voters, tilting odds toward "Nothing" absent a late shift.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,774
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nada Nunca Acontece: Março" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nada Acontece Nunca: Março" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nada Nunca Acontece: Março" has generated $338.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nada Nunca Acontece: Março," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nada Nunca Acontece: Março" is "Nada Acontece Nunca: Março" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nada Nunca Acontece: Março" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.