Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven by the failure of five out of six triggers by March 31, 2026, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at its March 18 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime enduring amid U.S. strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or Trump declaration of an election interference national emergency. The sole pending condition—both James Talarico and John Cornyn advancing as candidates in the Texas U.S. Senate election—hinges on Cornyn's GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26; a May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45% among likely Republican voters, tilting odds toward "Nothing" absent a late shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNada
$338,774 Vol.
$338,774 Vol.
Nada
$338,774 Vol.
$338,774 Vol.
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven by the failure of five out of six triggers by March 31, 2026, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at its March 18 FOMC meeting, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime enduring amid U.S. strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or Trump declaration of an election interference national emergency. The sole pending condition—both James Talarico and John Cornyn advancing as candidates in the Texas U.S. Senate election—hinges on Cornyn's GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26; a May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45% among likely Republican voters, tilting odds toward "Nothing" absent a late shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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