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Política·Eleições Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17

Market icon
Política·Eleições Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17

Cait Conley 60%

Beth Davidson 20%

Peter Chatzky 12.1%

Effie Phillips-Staley 4.9%

Polymarket

$49,912 Vol.

Cait Conley 60%

Beth Davidson 20%

Peter Chatzky 12.1%

Effie Phillips-Staley 4.9%

Polymarket

$49,912 Vol.

Cait Conley

$25,142 Vol.

60%

Beth Davidson

$21,514 Vol.

20%

Peter Chatzky

$2,562 Vol.

12%

Effie Phillips-Staley

$0 Vol.

5%

John Cappello

$0 Vol.

3%

Mike Sacks

$0 Vol.

2%

John Sullivan

$0 Vol.

1%

Jessica Reinmann

$693 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary favors Cait Conley at nearly 60% implied probability, driven by her recent March 24 endorsement from the New Dems Action Fund and earlier backing from VoteVets, Giffords PAC, and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, which highlight her combat veteran background and appeal as a general election contender against Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. A late February Impact Research poll showed Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson leading 23%-17% with superior local name recognition (41%), though 45% remained undecided amid a crowded eight-candidate field including self-funder Peter Chatzky. Ongoing petitioning ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primary could shift dynamics as undecideds consolidate.

Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary favors Cait Conley at nearly 60% implied probability, driven by her recent March 24 endorsement from the New Dems Action Fund and earlier backing from VoteVets, Giffords PAC, and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, which highlight her combat veteran background and appeal as a general election contender against Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. A late February Impact Research poll showed Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson leading 23%-17% with superior local name recognition (41%), though 45% remained undecided amid a crowded eight-candidate field including self-funder Peter Chatzky. Ongoing petitioning ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primary could shift dynamics as undecideds consolidate.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary favors Cait Conley at nearly 60% implied probability, driven by her recent March 24 endorsement from the New Dems Action Fund and earlier backing from VoteVets, Giffords PAC, and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, which highlight her combat veteran background and appeal as a general election contender against Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. A late February Impact Research poll showed Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson leading 23%-17% with superior local name recognition (41%), though 45% remained undecided amid a crowded eight-candidate field including self-funder Peter Chatzky. Ongoing petitioning ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primary could shift dynamics as undecideds consolidate.

Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary favors Cait Conley at nearly 60% implied probability, driven by her recent March 24 endorsement from the New Dems Action Fund and earlier backing from VoteVets, Giffords PAC, and LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, which highlight her combat veteran background and appeal as a general election contender against Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in this Hudson Valley battleground. A late February Impact Research poll showed Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson leading 23%-17% with superior local name recognition (41%), though 45% remained undecided amid a crowded eight-candidate field including self-funder Peter Chatzky. Ongoing petitioning ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primary could shift dynamics as undecideds consolidate.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cait Conley" at 60%, followed by "Beth Davidson" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17" has generated $49.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17" is "Cait Conley" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beth Davidson" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-17" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.