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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir

Bert Mizusawa 54%

David Williams 25%

Kim Farington 15.3%

Chuck Smith 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,372,392 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa 54%

David Williams 25%

Kim Farington 15.3%

Chuck Smith 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,372,392 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa

$5,353 Vol.

54%

David Williams

$13,620 Vol.

25%

Kim Farington

$448,782 Vol.

15%

Chuck Smith

$4,078 Vol.

4%

Jason Miyares

$14,638 Vol.

3%

Al Mina

$1,837,713 Vol.

1%

Bryce Reeves

$34,936 Vol.

1%

Winsome Earle-Sears

$10,480 Vol.

1%

Alex De Paula

$2,793 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired U.S. Army Major General Bert Mizusawa leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, buoyed by his West Point pedigree, national security expertise, and recent filing of over 18,000 petition signatures on March 25 to secure ballot access. Marine Corps Reserve Col. David Williams trails at 24.5%, leveraging 30 years of service across Navy, State Department, and CIA, while Northern Virginia's Kim Farington holds 15.6% with the strongest reported fundraising at $88,000 raised through late 2025. In this open primary allowing crossover voting, absent public polls, odds hinge on veteran appeal to GOP base amid a crowded field; watch endorsements and internal polling before early voting begins June 18.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,372,392
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired U.S. Army Major General Bert Mizusawa leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, buoyed by his West Point pedigree, national security expertise, and recent filing of over 18,000 petition signatures on March 25 to secure ballot access. Marine Corps Reserve Col. David Williams trails at 24.5%, leveraging 30 years of service across Navy, State Department, and CIA, while Northern Virginia's Kim Farington holds 15.6% with the strongest reported fundraising at $88,000 raised through late 2025. In this open primary allowing crossover voting, absent public polls, odds hinge on veteran appeal to GOP base amid a crowded field; watch endorsements and internal polling before early voting begins June 18.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,372,392
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bert Mizusawa" at 54%, followed by "David Williams" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" is "Bert Mizusawa" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Williams" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Vir" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.