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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida

Ashley B. Moody 94%

Michaelangelo Hamilton 4%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Jake Lang <1%

Polymarket

$11,835 Vol.

Ashley B. Moody 94%

Michaelangelo Hamilton 4%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Jake Lang <1%

Polymarket

$11,835 Vol.

Ashley B. Moody

$7,646 Vol.

94%

Michaelangelo Hamilton

$2,372 Vol.

4%

A.C. Toulme

$856 Vol.

1%

Jake Lang

$961 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Sen. Ashley B. Moody commands 93.5% trader consensus in the Florida Republican Senate primary market for the August 18 contest, driven by her appointment by Gov. Ron DeSantis to succeed Marco Rubio and her established record as state attorney general, bolstered by superior fundraising and GOP establishment support in a deep-red state. Recent Emerson College polling from March 29-31 shows Moody leading Democratic general election opponents by 8-11 points among likely voters, reinforcing primary dominance amid weak challengers like entrepreneur Michaelangelo Hamilton, Alix C. Toulme, and controversial January 6 participant Jake Lang. Upsets in late March state legislative specials highlight midterm turnout risks, but her position holds barring a scandal, high-profile defection such as a Trump endorsement elsewhere, or late heavy-hitter entry.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$11,835
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Sen. Ashley B. Moody commands 93.5% trader consensus in the Florida Republican Senate primary market for the August 18 contest, driven by her appointment by Gov. Ron DeSantis to succeed Marco Rubio and her established record as state attorney general, bolstered by superior fundraising and GOP establishment support in a deep-red state. Recent Emerson College polling from March 29-31 shows Moody leading Democratic general election opponents by 8-11 points among likely voters, reinforcing primary dominance amid weak challengers like entrepreneur Michaelangelo Hamilton, Alix C. Toulme, and controversial January 6 participant Jake Lang. Upsets in late March state legislative specials highlight midterm turnout risks, but her position holds barring a scandal, high-profile defection such as a Trump endorsement elsewhere, or late heavy-hitter entry.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$11,835
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ashley B. Moody" at 94%, followed by "Michaelangelo Hamilton" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida" is "Ashley B. Moody" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michaelangelo Hamilton" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Flórida" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.