Trader consensus in the Delaware Republican U.S. Senate primary favors Army Col. John Shulli at 55.5% implied probability over physician Michael Katz at 42%, reflecting Shulli's 28 years of military service—including Pentagon AI policy roles—that appeal to GOP voters seeking a battle-tested conservative challenger in deep-blue Delaware. Katz, a former Democratic state senator who ran as an Independent in 2024 before switching parties, filed his candidacy on March 19 but has faced skepticism as a late entrant lacking Shulli's tenure. With no public polls released and the September 15 primary months away, the closely contested race hinges on endorsements, fundraising, and turnout among limited Republican primary voters, where Shulli's earlier February filing provides a momentum edge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Delaware
Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Delaware
$31,045 Vol.
$31,045 Vol.
John Shulli
55%
Michael Katz
42%
$31,045 Vol.
$31,045 Vol.
John Shulli
55%
Michael Katz
42%
If no 2026 Delaware Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 25, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Delaware Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Delaware Republican U.S. Senate primary favors Army Col. John Shulli at 55.5% implied probability over physician Michael Katz at 42%, reflecting Shulli's 28 years of military service—including Pentagon AI policy roles—that appeal to GOP voters seeking a battle-tested conservative challenger in deep-blue Delaware. Katz, a former Democratic state senator who ran as an Independent in 2024 before switching parties, filed his candidacy on March 19 but has faced skepticism as a late entrant lacking Shulli's tenure. With no public polls released and the September 15 primary months away, the closely contested race hinges on endorsements, fundraising, and turnout among limited Republican primary voters, where Shulli's earlier February filing provides a momentum edge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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