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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts

Ed Markey 86%

Seth Moulton 12%

Ayanna Pressley 2.5%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ed Markey 86%

Seth Moulton 12%

Ayanna Pressley 2.5%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ed Markey

$3,206 Vol.

86%

Seth Moulton

$1,255 Vol.

12%

Ayanna Pressley

$0 Vol.

3%

Alexander Rikleen

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey commands 86.5% trader consensus in the September 1 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, consistent polling leads over Rep. Seth Moulton (aggregated 41% to 25% margin as of early 2026), and robust progressive base support demonstrated by Rep. Ayanna Pressley's March endorsement after declining her own bid. Moulton, at 12%, positions himself as a generational change candidate criticizing Markey's age but trails amid competitive fundraising where he holds a slight cash-on-hand edge; recent UNH polling shows Markey ahead 35%-23%. Alex Rikleen lingers at 0.3% despite minor poll mentions. No major catalysts in the past 30 days, with odds stable ahead of campaign intensification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,461
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey commands 86.5% trader consensus in the September 1 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, consistent polling leads over Rep. Seth Moulton (aggregated 41% to 25% margin as of early 2026), and robust progressive base support demonstrated by Rep. Ayanna Pressley's March endorsement after declining her own bid. Moulton, at 12%, positions himself as a generational change candidate criticizing Markey's age but trails amid competitive fundraising where he holds a slight cash-on-hand edge; recent UNH polling shows Markey ahead 35%-23%. Alex Rikleen lingers at 0.3% despite minor poll mentions. No major catalysts in the past 30 days, with odds stable ahead of campaign intensification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,461
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Markey" at 86%, followed by "Seth Moulton" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" is "Ed Markey" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seth Moulton" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.