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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa

Josh Turek 55%

Zach Wahls 44%

Chris Henry 1.4%

Nathan Sage 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,750 Vol.

Josh Turek 55%

Zach Wahls 44%

Chris Henry 1.4%

Nathan Sage 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,750 Vol.

Josh Turek

$2,464 Vol.

55%

Zach Wahls

$3,215 Vol.

44%

Chris Henry

$838 Vol.

1%

Nathan Sage

$4,234 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic primary set for June 2, trader consensus holds state Rep. Josh Turek and state Sen. Zach Wahls in a virtual tie at 48% each, driven by competing endorsements and polls amid Republican efforts to boost Wahls as a weaker general election matchup against GOP contenders like Rep. Ashley Hinson. A March 26 Teamsters Local 238 poll—following their Wahls endorsement—showed him leading 56%-38% among likely voters, but GOP-circulated surveys highlighting his progressive stances have fueled electability concerns, bolstering Turek with backing from Sens. Hassan and Cortez Masto, plus VoteVets' first super PAC intervention on March 24. Sen. Warren's March 19 nod to Wahls keeps progressives engaged. Separation could arise from independent polls, DSCC involvement, fundraising disclosures due soon, or a debate spotlighting general election viability in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,750
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the Iowa U.S. Senate Democratic primary set for June 2, trader consensus holds state Rep. Josh Turek and state Sen. Zach Wahls in a virtual tie at 48% each, driven by competing endorsements and polls amid Republican efforts to boost Wahls as a weaker general election matchup against GOP contenders like Rep. Ashley Hinson. A March 26 Teamsters Local 238 poll—following their Wahls endorsement—showed him leading 56%-38% among likely voters, but GOP-circulated surveys highlighting his progressive stances have fueled electability concerns, bolstering Turek with backing from Sens. Hassan and Cortez Masto, plus VoteVets' first super PAC intervention on March 24. Sen. Warren's March 19 nod to Wahls keeps progressives engaged. Separation could arise from independent polls, DSCC involvement, fundraising disclosures due soon, or a debate spotlighting general election viability in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,750
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Turek" at 55%, followed by "Zach Wahls" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa" is "Josh Turek" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zach Wahls" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Iowa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.