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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia

Jeffrey Kessler 74%

Zachary Shrewsbury 14%

Rachel Anderson 5%

Rio Phillips 2.2%

Polymarket

$41,337 Vol.

Jeffrey Kessler 74%

Zachary Shrewsbury 14%

Rachel Anderson 5%

Rio Phillips 2.2%

Polymarket

$41,337 Vol.

Jeffrey Kessler

$18,540 Vol.

74%

Zachary Shrewsbury

$12,043 Vol.

14%

Rachel Anderson

$2,454 Vol.

5%

Rio Phillips

$4,157 Vol.

2%

Thornton Cooper

$4,144 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jeffrey Kessler leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability in the West Virginia Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 12, reflecting his stature as former West Virginia Senate President with nearly two decades of legislative experience, bolstering name recognition in a fragmented field of five candidates. Zachary Shrewsbury trails at 13.5%, drawing from his 2024 primary run where he garnered 36% and strong early fundraising of over $259,000 through late 2025. Recent candidate forums, including one in Elkins on April 2 featuring Kessler, Thornton Cooper, and Rachel Fetty Anderson, have highlighted frontrunners ahead of early voting starting April 29 and voter registration deadline April 21, with no public polls available to shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,337
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jeffrey Kessler leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability in the West Virginia Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 12, reflecting his stature as former West Virginia Senate President with nearly two decades of legislative experience, bolstering name recognition in a fragmented field of five candidates. Zachary Shrewsbury trails at 13.5%, drawing from his 2024 primary run where he garnered 36% and strong early fundraising of over $259,000 through late 2025. Recent candidate forums, including one in Elkins on April 2 featuring Kessler, Thornton Cooper, and Rachel Fetty Anderson, have highlighted frontrunners ahead of early voting starting April 29 and voter registration deadline April 21, with no public polls available to shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,337
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeffrey Kessler" at 74%, followed by "Zachary Shrewsbury" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" has generated $41.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" is "Jeffrey Kessler" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zachary Shrewsbury" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.