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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia

Jeffrey Kessler 74%

Zachary Shrewsbury 14%

Rachel Anderson 5%

Rio Phillips 2.3%

Polymarket

$41,337 Vol.

Jeffrey Kessler 74%

Zachary Shrewsbury 14%

Rachel Anderson 5%

Rio Phillips 2.3%

Polymarket

$41,337 Vol.

Jeffrey Kessler

$18,540 Vol.

74%

Zachary Shrewsbury

$12,043 Vol.

14%

Rachel Anderson

$2,454 Vol.

5%

Rio Phillips

$4,157 Vol.

2%

Thornton Cooper

$4,144 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jeffrey Kessler leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability in the West Virginia Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 12, driven by his extensive experience as former state Senate president and long-time legislator, giving him strong name recognition in a low-turnout contest favoring established figures. Challenger Zachary Shrewsbury holds 13.5% amid lingering sexual misconduct allegations from a massage therapist reported in 2025, which continue to circulate in local discussions. Rachel Fetty Anderson (4.5%), Rio Phillips (2.3%), and Thornton Cooper (2.2%) trail with limited visibility—Anderson as a former Morgantown councilmember, Phillips emphasizing working-class issues, and Cooper leveraging state agency background—despite no public polls or major endorsements shifting dynamics in recent weeks. With early voting underway, final turnout among key Democratic voting blocs could influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,337
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jeffrey Kessler leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability in the West Virginia Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 12, driven by his extensive experience as former state Senate president and long-time legislator, giving him strong name recognition in a low-turnout contest favoring established figures. Challenger Zachary Shrewsbury holds 13.5% amid lingering sexual misconduct allegations from a massage therapist reported in 2025, which continue to circulate in local discussions. Rachel Fetty Anderson (4.5%), Rio Phillips (2.3%), and Thornton Cooper (2.2%) trail with limited visibility—Anderson as a former Morgantown councilmember, Phillips emphasizing working-class issues, and Cooper leveraging state agency background—despite no public polls or major endorsements shifting dynamics in recent weeks. With early voting underway, final turnout among key Democratic voting blocs could influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,337
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeffrey Kessler" at 74%, followed by "Zachary Shrewsbury" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" has generated $41.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" is "Jeffrey Kessler" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zachary Shrewsbury" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado da Virgínia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.