House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson leads trader consensus at 84% implied probability for the Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary on June 16, 2026, bolstered by her early campaign launch in April 2025, statewide name recognition as the top Democrat in the state House, and recent confirmation on the ballot following the April 3 filing deadline. The passage of this deadline finalized a small field, including former Sen. Connie Johnson and securities trader Arya Azma, whose 2.5% odds reflect his fifth-place finish with 7% in the 2022 U.S. Senate Democratic primary amid limited party infrastructure support. Absent polls, traders price Munson's incumbency-like advantages and fundraising edge in this low-turnout primary, with early voting June 11–13 as the next catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$31,324 Vol.
$31,324 Vol.
Cyndi Munson
85%
Arya Azma
2%
$31,324 Vol.
$31,324 Vol.
Cyndi Munson
85%
Arya Azma
2%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson leads trader consensus at 84% implied probability for the Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary on June 16, 2026, bolstered by her early campaign launch in April 2025, statewide name recognition as the top Democrat in the state House, and recent confirmation on the ballot following the April 3 filing deadline. The passage of this deadline finalized a small field, including former Sen. Connie Johnson and securities trader Arya Azma, whose 2.5% odds reflect his fifth-place finish with 7% in the 2022 U.S. Senate Democratic primary amid limited party infrastructure support. Absent polls, traders price Munson's incumbency-like advantages and fundraising edge in this low-turnout primary, with early voting June 11–13 as the next catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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