Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz commands 66.5% trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, superior past fundraising—including a $372,000 Q3 2025 haul—and support from pro-Israel groups like AIPAC in a Broward County district with significant Jewish voters. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin holds 33.5% amid progressive enthusiasm fueled by Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement for 2026, announced late March, and a Center for Strategic Politics poll (fielded Feb. 28–Mar. 5) showing Larkin leading 49–36 after balanced bios, with 63% of likely primary voters favoring reduced military aid to Israel. Q1 fundraising reports, due mid-April, may clarify turnout dynamics in Florida's closed primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$10,847 Vol.
$10,847 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz
67%
Oliver Adams Larkin
34%
$10,847 Vol.
$10,847 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz
67%
Oliver Adams Larkin
34%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz commands 66.5% trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, superior past fundraising—including a $372,000 Q3 2025 haul—and support from pro-Israel groups like AIPAC in a Broward County district with significant Jewish voters. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin holds 33.5% amid progressive enthusiasm fueled by Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement for 2026, announced late March, and a Center for Strategic Politics poll (fielded Feb. 28–Mar. 5) showing Larkin leading 49–36 after balanced bios, with 63% of likely primary voters favoring reduced military aid to Israel. Q1 fundraising reports, due mid-April, may clarify turnout dynamics in Florida's closed primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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