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Política·Michigan

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

icon for Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13
Política·Michigan

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

Shri Thanedar 53%

Donavan McKinney 36%

Shelby Campbell 5.0%

Anthony Carbonaro 1.7%

Polymarket

$22,800 Vol.

Shri Thanedar 53%

Donavan McKinney 36%

Shelby Campbell 5.0%

Anthony Carbonaro 1.7%

Polymarket

$22,800 Vol.

Shri Thanedar

$1,194 Vol.

53%

Donavan McKinney

$20,363 Vol.

36%

Shelby Campbell

$442 Vol.

5%

Anthony Carbonaro

$413 Vol.

2%

Nazmul Hassan

$388 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar commands 53% trader consensus in the August 4 Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary**, anchored by his incumbency advantage, self-funding history, and $8 million cash-on-hand from late 2025, fostering strong name recognition in the Detroit-area battleground despite progressive critiques of his moderate record. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 27.5%, propelled by Justice Democrats backing, Progressive Working Families Party endorsement in March, and Wayne County Black leaders' support seeking robust local advocacy after Adam Hollier's September 2025 withdrawal consolidated the challenge. Fragmented lower shares for Shelby Campbell (5%), Nazmul Hassan (3.3%), and Anthony Carbonaro (2.4%) dilute opposition, with recent candidate interviews underscoring economic struggles but no public polls to alter the skin-in-the-game tilt toward Thanedar ahead of summer turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,800
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar commands 53% trader consensus in the August 4 Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary**, anchored by his incumbency advantage, self-funding history, and $8 million cash-on-hand from late 2025, fostering strong name recognition in the Detroit-area battleground despite progressive critiques of his moderate record. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 27.5%, propelled by Justice Democrats backing, Progressive Working Families Party endorsement in March, and Wayne County Black leaders' support seeking robust local advocacy after Adam Hollier's September 2025 withdrawal consolidated the challenge. Fragmented lower shares for Shelby Campbell (5%), Nazmul Hassan (3.3%), and Anthony Carbonaro (2.4%) dilute opposition, with recent candidate interviews underscoring economic struggles but no public polls to alter the skin-in-the-game tilt toward Thanedar ahead of summer turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,800
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 53%, followed by "Donavan McKinney" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" has generated $22.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" is "Shri Thanedar" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.