Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52.5% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary on August 4, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage and record of surviving past challenges, including a narrow 2024 win. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 38.5%, bolstered by endorsements from Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Detroit Black political leaders, and progressive groups like David Hogg's organization, tapping into calls for stronger local representation in the Detroit-heavy district lacking a Black congressmember since 2023. Recent interviews—Thanedar defending his record on March 23 and McKinney outlining issues on April 1—highlight the contest's competitiveness ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with no public polls yet shifting the skin-in-the-game odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoShri Thanedar 57%
Donavan McKinney 39%
Anthony Carbonaro 3.6%
Nazmul Hassan 3.5%
$22,254 Vol.
$22,254 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
52%
Donavan McKinney
39%
Anthony Carbonaro
4%
Nazmul Hassan
3%
Shelby Campbell
<1%
Shri Thanedar 57%
Donavan McKinney 39%
Anthony Carbonaro 3.6%
Nazmul Hassan 3.5%
$22,254 Vol.
$22,254 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
52%
Donavan McKinney
39%
Anthony Carbonaro
4%
Nazmul Hassan
3%
Shelby Campbell
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52.5% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary on August 4, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage and record of surviving past challenges, including a narrow 2024 win. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 38.5%, bolstered by endorsements from Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Detroit Black political leaders, and progressive groups like David Hogg's organization, tapping into calls for stronger local representation in the Detroit-heavy district lacking a Black congressmember since 2023. Recent interviews—Thanedar defending his record on March 23 and McKinney outlining issues on April 1—highlight the contest's competitiveness ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with no public polls yet shifting the skin-in-the-game odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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