Jeremy Moss leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability in the open MI-11 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising—$781,000 raised and $510,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, far ahead of Don Ufford's $534,000—bolstered by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement and his role as Michigan Senate President Pro Tem from Oakland County, core to the district. Former Rep. Andy Levin holds 12% on residual name recognition from his 2019–2023 service despite no announced bid, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) benefits from grassroots advocacy as an attorney and immigrant's daughter, and Dave Woodward (2.9%) lingers amid a crowded field ahead of the April 21 filing deadline. Absent recent polls or shifts in the past 30 days, Moss's establishment edge shapes the wisdom of crowds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJeremy Moss 79%
Andy Levin 12%
Aisha Farooqi 4.5%
Dave Woodward 2.9%
Jeremy Moss
79%
Andy Levin
12%
Aisha Farooqi
4%
Dave Woodward
3%
Jeremy Moss 79%
Andy Levin 12%
Aisha Farooqi 4.5%
Dave Woodward 2.9%
Jeremy Moss
79%
Andy Levin
12%
Aisha Farooqi
4%
Dave Woodward
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability in the open MI-11 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising—$781,000 raised and $510,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, far ahead of Don Ufford's $534,000—bolstered by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement and his role as Michigan Senate President Pro Tem from Oakland County, core to the district. Former Rep. Andy Levin holds 12% on residual name recognition from his 2019–2023 service despite no announced bid, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) benefits from grassroots advocacy as an attorney and immigrant's daughter, and Dave Woodward (2.9%) lingers amid a crowded field ahead of the April 21 filing deadline. Absent recent polls or shifts in the past 30 days, Moss's establishment edge shapes the wisdom of crowds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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