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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11

icon for Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11

Jeremy Moss 91%

Aisha Farooqi 4.8%

Andy Levin 4.3%

Don Ufford 2.7%

Polymarket

$16,795 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 91%

Aisha Farooqi 4.8%

Andy Levin 4.3%

Don Ufford 2.7%

Polymarket

$16,795 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$7,186 Vol.

91%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,586 Vol.

5%

Andy Levin

$3,665 Vol.

4%

Don Ufford

$89 Vol.

3%

Dave Woodward

$270 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss commands a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary, an open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid, due to his superior fundraising and cash-on-hand lead announced April 16, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's key endorsement, and status as the first candidate to submit ballot petitions April 14, signaling strong districtwide organization. As State Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment support in this Oakland County-heavy battleground. Challengers like former Rep. Andy Levin (4.3%) lag without comparable momentum, while Aisha Farooqi, Don Ufford, and Dave Woodward hold single digits. With the August 4 primary approaching, shifts could arise from rival labor or progressive endorsements, a late fundraising surge, or scandal impacting Moss.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,795
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss commands a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary, an open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid, due to his superior fundraising and cash-on-hand lead announced April 16, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's key endorsement, and status as the first candidate to submit ballot petitions April 14, signaling strong districtwide organization. As State Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment support in this Oakland County-heavy battleground. Challengers like former Rep. Andy Levin (4.3%) lag without comparable momentum, while Aisha Farooqi, Don Ufford, and Dave Woodward hold single digits. With the August 4 primary approaching, shifts could arise from rival labor or progressive endorsements, a late fundraising surge, or scandal impacting Moss.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,795
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 91%, followed by "Aisha Farooqi" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11" is "Jeremy Moss" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aisha Farooqi" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-11" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.