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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10

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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10

Eric Chung 69%

Tim Greimel 20%

Christina Hines 12%

Tripp Adams 1.3%

Polymarket

$40,069 Vol.

Eric Chung 69%

Tim Greimel 20%

Christina Hines 12%

Tripp Adams 1.3%

Polymarket

$40,069 Vol.

Eric Chung

$3,146 Vol.

69%

Tim Greimel

$29,702 Vol.

20%

Christina Hines

$2,823 Vol.

12%

Tripp Adams

$2,527 Vol.

1%

Brian Jaye

$1,871 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 69% implied probability for Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising with over $1.1 million raised and $716,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 filings, far outpacing Tim Greimel's $808,000 raised and $480,000 cash or Christina Hines' $663,000 raised and $258,000 cash. The open seat, vacated by Republican Rep. John James running for governor, has seen no major endorsements or polling shifts in the past 30 days, leaving Chung's financial resources and small-donor support—highlighted in early 2026 reports—as the primary catalysts boosting his frontrunner status among a crowded field including lower-funded Tripp Adams and Brian Jaye. A January PPP poll favored Hines in general election matchups but offered no primary insights, underscoring uncertainty until potential late-cycle developments like additional endorsements or debates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,069
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 69% implied probability for Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising with over $1.1 million raised and $716,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 filings, far outpacing Tim Greimel's $808,000 raised and $480,000 cash or Christina Hines' $663,000 raised and $258,000 cash. The open seat, vacated by Republican Rep. John James running for governor, has seen no major endorsements or polling shifts in the past 30 days, leaving Chung's financial resources and small-donor support—highlighted in early 2026 reports—as the primary catalysts boosting his frontrunner status among a crowded field including lower-funded Tripp Adams and Brian Jaye. A January PPP poll favored Hines in general election matchups but offered no primary insights, underscoring uncertainty until potential late-cycle developments like additional endorsements or debates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,069
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 69%, followed by "Tim Greimel" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10" has generated $40.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10" is "Eric Chung" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Greimel" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.