Florida's 23rd congressional district shifted sharply toward Democrats following the state legislature's mid-decade redistricting map signed into law in early May 2026. The new lines produced a D+13 partisan lean and elevated the seat from a competitive race to a Lean Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democratic Representative Jared Moskowitz filed for reelection in the reconfigured district and holds a strong position heading into the August 18 primary against challenger Oliver Larkin. Republican primary candidates, including Joe Kaufman and Scott Singer, face a significantly narrowed path in the general election due to the altered electorate. These structural changes underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-23 House Election Winner
FL-23 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
16%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$588 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$619 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district shifted sharply toward Democrats following the state legislature's mid-decade redistricting map signed into law in early May 2026. The new lines produced a D+13 partisan lean and elevated the seat from a competitive race to a Lean Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democratic Representative Jared Moskowitz filed for reelection in the reconfigured district and holds a strong position heading into the August 18 primary against challenger Oliver Larkin. Republican primary candidates, including Joe Kaufman and Scott Singer, face a significantly narrowed path in the general election due to the altered electorate. These structural changes underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$1,207Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district shifted sharply toward Democrats following the state legislature's mid-decade redistricting map signed into law in early May 2026. The new lines produced a D+13 partisan lean and elevated the seat from a competitive race to a Lean Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democratic Representative Jared Moskowitz filed for reelection in the reconfigured district and holds a strong position heading into the August 18 primary against challenger Oliver Larkin. Republican primary candidates, including Joe Kaufman and Scott Singer, face a significantly narrowed path in the general election due to the altered electorate. These structural changes underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,207Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district shifted sharply toward Democrats following the state legislature's mid-decade redistricting map signed into law in early May 2026. The new lines produced a D+13 partisan lean and elevated the seat from a competitive race to a Lean Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democratic Representative Jared Moskowitz filed for reelection in the reconfigured district and holds a strong position heading into the August 18 primary against challenger Oliver Larkin. Republican primary candidates, including Joe Kaufman and Scott Singer, face a significantly narrowed path in the general election due to the altered electorate. These structural changes underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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