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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan

Perry Johnson 45%

John James 38%

Tom Leonard 3.4%

Anthony Hudson 3.3%

Polymarket

$20,550 Vol.

Perry Johnson 45%

John James 38%

Tom Leonard 3.4%

Anthony Hudson 3.3%

Polymarket

$20,550 Vol.

Perry Johnson

$7,885 Vol.

45%

John James

$6,911 Vol.

37%

Tom Leonard

$0 Vol.

3%

Anthony Hudson

$0 Vol.

3%

Joyce Gipson

$0 Vol.

3%

William Null

$802 Vol.

2%

Mike Cox

$2,224 Vol.

2%

Ralph Rebandt

$866 Vol.

2%

Karla Wagner

$0 Vol.

1%

Aric Nesbitt

$1,213 Vol.

10%

Evan Space

$648 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary favors U.S. Rep. John James at 37.5% implied probability, with businessman Perry Johnson close behind at 36%, reflecting a tightening contest amid high undecideds in recent polls. James' early frontrunner status, bolstered by name recognition from prior statewide runs, has eroded following Johnson's March TV ads attacking James for debate avoidance and a bold proposal to eliminate the state income tax, fueling Johnson's surge from 20-21% to near-parity in JMC and 1892 polls. Aric Nesbitt trails at 9.9% on legislative profile. The crowded field fragments support, keeping the race fluid ahead of the August 4 primary; separation could emerge from GOP debates, Trump endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or consolidated base turnout in swing areas like Macomb County.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,550
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary favors U.S. Rep. John James at 37.5% implied probability, with businessman Perry Johnson close behind at 36%, reflecting a tightening contest amid high undecideds in recent polls. James' early frontrunner status, bolstered by name recognition from prior statewide runs, has eroded following Johnson's March TV ads attacking James for debate avoidance and a bold proposal to eliminate the state income tax, fueling Johnson's surge from 20-21% to near-parity in JMC and 1892 polls. Aric Nesbitt trails at 9.9% on legislative profile. The crowded field fragments support, keeping the race fluid ahead of the August 4 primary; separation could emerge from GOP debates, Trump endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or consolidated base turnout in swing areas like Macomb County.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,550
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 46%, followed by "John James" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" has generated $20.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" is "Perry Johnson" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John James" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.