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Eleições·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Eleições·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 8.6%

Maisha Williams 5.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 8.6%

Maisha Williams 5.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$148 Vol.

54%

Elijah Manley

$2,185 Vol.

33%

Rudy Moise

$846 Vol.

9%

Maisha Williams

$299 Vol.

6%

Dale Holness

$1,645 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$264 Vol.

4%

Mark Douglas

$274 Vol.

2%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds the lead in trader consensus for the August 18 Democratic primary because redistricting placed the longtime incumbent into Florida’s 20th District after her prior seat was altered, giving her established name recognition, fundraising capacity, and institutional support against a crowded field. Recent developments include a closed-door meeting among Black candidates aimed at consolidating behind one challenger to improve odds of defeating her in the majority-Black district, with Elijah Manley emerging as a focal point in those talks and polling emphasis on the importance of Black representation. Other contenders like Rudy Moise, Dale Holness, and Maisha Williams trail amid vote-splitting concerns, while the primary’s outcome hinges on whether opposition unites before the June 12 qualifying deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,447
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds the lead in trader consensus for the August 18 Democratic primary because redistricting placed the longtime incumbent into Florida’s 20th District after her prior seat was altered, giving her established name recognition, fundraising capacity, and institutional support against a crowded field. Recent developments include a closed-door meeting among Black candidates aimed at consolidating behind one challenger to improve odds of defeating her in the majority-Black district, with Elijah Manley emerging as a focal point in those talks and polling emphasis on the importance of Black representation. Other contenders like Rudy Moise, Dale Holness, and Maisha Williams trail amid vote-splitting concerns, while the primary’s outcome hinges on whether opposition unites before the June 12 qualifying deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,447
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" at 54%, followed by "Elijah Manley" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elijah Manley" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.