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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey

Cory Booker 99.6%

Saxon Callahan <1%

Gregory Tomaini <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Cory Booker 99.6%

Saxon Callahan <1%

Gregory Tomaini <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Cory Booker

$4,587 Vol.

100%

Saxon Callahan

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Gregory Tomaini

$688 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Cory Booker commands 99.6% trader consensus for the New Jersey Democratic Senate primary on June 2, driven by his entrenched incumbency advantage, robust fundraising—second-highest among 2026 Senate candidates—and absence of viable challengers following the March 23 filing deadline. Minor candidates Saxon Callahan (0.4%) and Gregory Tomaini (0.2%) lack name recognition, endorsements, or polling traction in a state where Democratic primaries favor established incumbents. Recent Booker interviews floating a 2028 presidential bid highlight his national stature without signaling primary vulnerability. While late-breaking scandals, health events, legal challenges, or an unexpected endorsement surge could shift odds, historical base rates for Senate incumbents exceeding 90% renomination likelihood reinforce the market's firm positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$6,693
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Cory Booker commands 99.6% trader consensus for the New Jersey Democratic Senate primary on June 2, driven by his entrenched incumbency advantage, robust fundraising—second-highest among 2026 Senate candidates—and absence of viable challengers following the March 23 filing deadline. Minor candidates Saxon Callahan (0.4%) and Gregory Tomaini (0.2%) lack name recognition, endorsements, or polling traction in a state where Democratic primaries favor established incumbents. Recent Booker interviews floating a 2028 presidential bid highlight his national stature without signaling primary vulnerability. While late-breaking scandals, health events, legal challenges, or an unexpected endorsement surge could shift odds, historical base rates for Senate incumbents exceeding 90% renomination likelihood reinforce the market's firm positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$6,693
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cory Booker" at 100%, followed by "Saxon Callahan" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 26, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey" is "Cory Booker" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Saxon Callahan" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Nova Jersey" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.