Congressman Chris Pappas dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8, 2026, for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, owing to his incumbency advantage in the 1st Congressional District, superior fundraising through his FEC-registered campaign, and status as the early polling favorite in surveys like the January UNH poll. Karishma Manzur trails at 6% as a lesser-known challenger with minimal visibility. Recent momentum includes Pappas marking the one-year anniversary of his campaign launch this week, emphasizing cost-lowering initiatives, alongside late-March Emerson polling showing him competitive against Republican frontrunner John Sununu, reinforcing his viability without notable primary competition or disruptions in the past 30 days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$10,521 Vol.
$10,521 Vol.
Chris Pappas
90%
Karishma Manzur
6%
$10,521 Vol.
$10,521 Vol.
Chris Pappas
90%
Karishma Manzur
6%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Congressman Chris Pappas dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8, 2026, for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, owing to his incumbency advantage in the 1st Congressional District, superior fundraising through his FEC-registered campaign, and status as the early polling favorite in surveys like the January UNH poll. Karishma Manzur trails at 6% as a lesser-known challenger with minimal visibility. Recent momentum includes Pappas marking the one-year anniversary of his campaign launch this week, emphasizing cost-lowering initiatives, alongside late-March Emerson polling showing him competitive against Republican frontrunner John Sununu, reinforcing his viability without notable primary competition or disruptions in the past 30 days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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